Belmont

26-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

60.0%Belmont

40.0%Murray State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBelmont -2.1

PROJECTED TOTAL164.8

MODEL MONEYLINEBelmont -150

Murray State

20-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBelmont 83

Projected Total164.8

Projected ScoreMurray State 81

Team Comparison

BelmontMetricMurray State

61.8MMH Power Index53.6

118.6Offensive Efficiency115.0

103.7Defensive Efficiency111.0

14.9Net Efficiency4.0

-0.2Strength of Schedule3.5

10.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.5

70.7Tempo72.3

60.7%Effective FG%54.0%

17.8%Turnover Rate16.3%

28.8%Offensive Rebound %32.7%

32.7%Free Throw Rate39.1%

10.5Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Belmont HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBelmont holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.8–53.6), offensive efficiency (118.6–115.0), defensive efficiency (103.7–111.0), net efficiency (14.9–4.0).

Murray State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (3.5–-0.2), ball security (16.3–17.8), offensive rebounding (32.7–28.8).

Final

Belmont

87—70

Murray State

Belmont by 17 • 73.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BelmontTEAM STATMurray State

30-58FG23-60

52.0%FG%38.0%

10-223PT11-32

45.0%3PT%34.0%

17-20FT13-21

85.0%FT%62.0%

34Rebounds35

6Offensive Rebounds13

17Assists9

13Turnovers15

8Steals8

2Blocks4

22Fouls20

Player Box Score

Belmont

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jack Smiley	G	22	7-10	2-4	5-5	4	4	2	0	21
Eoin Dillon	F	26	4-6	3-4	8-8	8	1	0	1	19
Sam Orme	F	26	7-11	0-1	2-2	7	2	1	0	16
Tyler Lundblade	G	36	4-9	4-7	0-1	4	4	0	0	12
Drew Scharnowski	F	12	2-5	0-0	2-3	2	3	0	1	6
Aidan Noyes	F	17	2-5	1-4	0-0	2	0	1	0	5
Isaiah West	G	21	2-5	0-1	0-0	1	2	1	0	4
Brigham Rogers	F	19	2-2	0-0	0-1	2	1	2	0	4
Jabez Jenkins	G	17	0-4	0-1	0-0	4	0	1	0	0
Graydon Lemke	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Keith Robbins	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jake Dykstra	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Cooper Haynes	G	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Murray State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
KJ Tenner	G	23	7-10	5-7	2-4	1	1	1	0	21
Javon Jackson	G	32	7-17	1-5	5-6	4	3	3	0	20
Roman Domon	G	29	1-11	1-7	5-8	7	1	1	0	8
JJ Traynor	F	27	3-7	1-4	0-0	5	0	1	0	7
Layne Taylor	G	17	2-5	2-4	0-0	2	1	0	0	6
Mason Miller	F	23	1-3	1-3	1-2	3	1	1	0	4
Fred King	C	19	1-3	0-0	0-1	6	0	0	3	2
Dylan Anderson	C	10	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	2
Mathis Courbon	G	10	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Brayden Shorter	G	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	1	1	0	0
Brock Vice	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.3Possessions73.3

118.7Offensive Efficiency95.5

95.5Defensive Efficiency118.7

23.2Net Efficiency-23.2

60.3%Effective FG%47.5%

64.4%True Shooting %50.0%

17.4%Turnover Rate20.8%

34.5%Free Throw Rate35.0%

37.9%3-Point Rate53.3%

1.31Assist / Turnover0.60

Game Summary

Belmont won by 17 points. The game played at approximately 73.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.