Youngstown State

14-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

33.5%Youngstown State

66.5%Detroit Mercy

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDetroit Mercy -4.3

PROJECTED TOTAL152.2

MODEL MONEYLINEDetroit Mercy -199

Detroit Mercy

17-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreYoungstown State 74

Projected Total152.2

Projected ScoreDetroit Mercy 78

Team Comparison

Youngstown StateMetricDetroit Mercy

46.7MMH Power Index48.3

111.6Offensive Efficiency110.2

107.1Defensive Efficiency110.4

4.5Net Efficiency-0.2

-5.6Strength of Schedule-1.9

1.5Last 10 Net Efficiency3.5

66.7Tempo70.0

54.9%Effective FG%50.0%

18.4%Turnover Rate16.1%

31.6%Offensive Rebound %34.1%

32.3%Free Throw Rate35.1%

3.0Average Margin-0.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Detroit Mercy HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDetroit Mercy holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.3–46.7), strength of schedule (-1.9–-5.6), recent form (3.5–1.5), ball security (16.1–18.4).

Youngstown State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (111.6–110.2), defensive efficiency (107.1–110.4), net efficiency (4.5–-0.2).

Final

Youngstown State

70—76

Detroit Mercy

Detroit Mercy by 6 • 71.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Youngstown StateTEAM STATDetroit Mercy

27-59FG27-62

46.0%FG%44.0%

5-223PT5-13

23.0%3PT%38.0%

11-16FT17-22

69.0%FT%77.0%

33Rebounds38

6Offensive Rebounds9

12Assists12

12Turnovers7

5Steals8

5Blocks3

18Fouls17

Player Box Score

Youngstown State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tae Blackshear	G	26	9-9	2-2	2-3	4	2	0	2	22
Bryson Dawkins	G	35	8-16	1-4	3-6	5	3	0	0	20
Cris Carroll	F	38	4-12	1-7	0-1	3	1	3	0	9
Vlad Salaridze	F	12	2-5	0-1	2-2	2	1	0	0	6
Rich Rolf	F	24	0-3	0-2	4-4	7	0	1	1	4
Imanuel Zorgvol	C	9	2-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	2	4
Drew King	G	9	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Jason Nelson	G	31	1-8	0-3	0-0	5	2	1	0	2
Cam Polak	G	16	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	2	0	0	0

Detroit Mercy

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyler Spratt	G	28	3-5	2-3	7-8	9	1	1	1	15
London Maiden	F	10	5-6	0-0	3-4	3	0	0	0	13
Orlando Lovejoy	G	32	6-14	0-0	0-0	2	3	2	0	12
Lance Stone	G	23	4-8	1-1	3-4	2	3	1	0	12
Ryan Kalambay	F	27	4-6	0-0	2-4	5	0	2	1	10
TJ Nadeau	G	27	4-12	2-6	0-0	4	2	0	0	10
Jared Lary	G	7	1-3	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	0	4
Legend Geeter	F	26	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	3	2	1	0
Je'kel Cotton	G	13	0-4	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Nate Johnson	G	7	0-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.6Possessions71.6

97.8Offensive Efficiency106.1

106.1Defensive Efficiency97.8

-8.4Net Efficiency8.4

50.0%Effective FG%47.6%

52.6%True Shooting %52.4%

16.5%Turnover Rate9.9%

27.1%Free Throw Rate35.5%

37.3%3-Point Rate21.0%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.71

Game Summary

Detroit Mercy won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 71.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.