Fairfield

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.5%Fairfield

55.5%Saint Peter's

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSaint Peter's -2.6

PROJECTED TOTAL142.6

MODEL MONEYLINESaint Peter's -125

Saint Peter's

17-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFairfield 70

Projected Total142.6

Projected ScoreSaint Peter's 73

Team Comparison

FairfieldMetricSaint Peter's

50.1MMH Power Index47.5

109.6Offensive Efficiency106.6

105.4Defensive Efficiency103.0

4.2Net Efficiency3.6

-3.4Strength of Schedule-3.8

3.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.5

67.8Tempo66.4

49.1%Effective FG%47.6%

15.0%Turnover Rate17.5%

36.0%Offensive Rebound %36.8%

28.4%Free Throw Rate36.6%

2.8Average Margin2.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Fairfield HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFairfield holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.1–47.5), offensive efficiency (109.6–106.6), net efficiency (4.2–3.6), strength of schedule (-3.4–-3.8).

Saint Peter's COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (103.0–105.4), offensive rebounding (36.8–36.0), free throw rate (36.6–28.4).

Final

Fairfield

74—83

Saint Peter's

Saint Peter's by 9 • 68.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

FairfieldTEAM STATSaint Peter's

25-54FG23-47

46.0%FG%49.0%

4-103PT9-16

40.0%3PT%56.0%

20-27FT28-33

74.0%FT%85.0%

32Rebounds28

13Offensive Rebounds9

11Assists12

15Turnovers15

9Steals9

2Blocks5

21Fouls24

Player Box Score

Fairfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Declan Wucherpfennig	G	32	8-12	0-1	7-11	8	0	2	0	23
Braden Sparks	G	32	5-8	3-3	2-2	2	2	4	0	15
Brandon Benjamin	F	36	5-15	0-0	4-4	9	3	1	1	14
Halon Rawlins	G	34	5-9	1-3	1-2	6	0	1	1	12
Tony Williams	G	19	2-4	0-1	2-2	0	1	1	0	6
Nasir Rodriguez	G	1	0-1	0-1	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Eric Mejia	G	21	0-2	0-0	1-2	1	2	0	0	1
Isaac Munkadi	F	4	0-0	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	1
Ryan Zan	F	8	0-2	0-1	0-0	3	2	0	0	0
Cam Estevez	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Deuce Turner	G	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Saint Peter's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
TJ Robinson	G	26	5-9	2-2	9-10	1	4	0	0	21
Brent Bland	G	35	5-12	4-7	1-2	2	1	2	1	15
Shaedon Simpson	G	21	2-4	2-4	6-7	1	1	1	0	12
Zaakir Williamson	F	29	3-6	0-0	5-6	10	0	2	2	11
Jahki Gupton	F	26	3-5	0-1	3-4	5	1	1	2	9
Bryce Eaton	G	14	2-2	1-1	2-2	3	4	1	0	7
Elijah Perkins	G	28	1-3	0-0	2-2	1	1	2	0	4
Bol Agu	F	9	1-5	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Eric Morgan Jr.	G	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
J'Quan Ewing	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Adetokunbo Bakare	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.8Possessions68.8

107.6Offensive Efficiency120.6

120.6Defensive Efficiency107.6

-13.1Net Efficiency13.1

50.0%Effective FG%58.5%

55.4%True Shooting %66.2%

21.8%Turnover Rate21.8%

50.0%Free Throw Rate70.2%

18.5%3-Point Rate34.0%

0.73Assist / Turnover0.80

Game Summary

Saint Peter's won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 68.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.