Davidson

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.8%Davidson

78.2%Dayton

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDayton -8.3

PROJECTED TOTAL141.7

MODEL MONEYLINEDayton -359

Dayton

25-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDavidson 67

Projected Total141.7

Projected ScoreDayton 75

Team Comparison

DavidsonMetricDayton

53MMH Power Index59.9

109.9Offensive Efficiency108.5

103.7Defensive Efficiency101.5

6.2Net Efficiency7.0

0.1Strength of Schedule5.7

-0.6Last 10 Net Efficiency6.4

65.5Tempo68.3

53.7%Effective FG%52.0%

15.6%Turnover Rate16.9%

28.8%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

32.9%Free Throw Rate47.6%

4.1Average Margin4.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Dayton HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDayton holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.9–53.0), defensive efficiency (101.5–103.7), net efficiency (7.0–6.2), strength of schedule (5.7–0.1).

Davidson COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (109.9–108.5), shooting efficiency (53.7–52.0), ball security (15.6–16.9).

Final

Davidson

59—70

Dayton

Dayton by 11 • 60.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DavidsonTEAM STATDayton

22-50FG22-48

44.0%FG%46.0%

8-213PT5-15

38.0%3PT%33.0%

7-11FT21-24

64.0%FT%88.0%

18Rebounds39

5Offensive Rebounds14

12Assists16

10Turnovers16

9Steals7

6Blocks3

21Fouls11

Player Box Score

Davidson

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Parker Friedrichsen	G	33	7-12	5-6	2-2	3	3	0	0	21
Josh Scovens	G	29	6-11	1-1	2-2	2	1	3	2	15
Roberts Blums	G	25	3-10	2-9	1-2	0	0	1	0	9
Devin Brown	G	32	3-6	0-0	2-5	3	1	2	0	8
Sean Logan	F	17	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	3	2
Nick Coval	G	14	1-3	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Hunter Adam	G	11	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Sam Brown	G	16	0-3	0-1	0-0	2	3	0	0	0
JaQualon Roberts	F	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	2	2	0	0
Ian Platteeuw	G	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	1	0
RJ Greer	G	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Dayton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
De'Shayne Montgomery	G	29	5-10	2-4	1-2	4	0	1	1	13
Amaël L'Etang	F	30	4-8	1-3	3-4	1	0	1	1	12
Jaiun Simon	F	32	4-6	0-0	3-3	13	4	2	0	11
Bryce Heard	G	16	2-5	0-0	6-6	7	0	0	0	10
Javon Bennett	G	38	2-11	1-7	4-4	3	4	3	0	9
Jordan Derkack	G	22	3-5	0-0	3-3	4	2	0	0	9
Keonte Jones	G	31	2-3	1-1	1-2	4	6	0	1	6
Sean Pouedet	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

60.8Possessions60.8

97.0Offensive Efficiency115.1

115.1Defensive Efficiency97.0

-18.1Net Efficiency18.1

52.0%Effective FG%51.0%

53.4%True Shooting %58.9%

16.6%Turnover Rate26.1%

22.0%Free Throw Rate50.0%

42.0%3-Point Rate31.3%

1.20Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Dayton won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 60.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.