Arizona State

17-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

3.4%Arizona State

96.6%Gonzaga

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGonzaga -24.0

PROJECTED TOTAL155.2

MODEL MONEYLINEGonzaga -2841

Gonzaga

31-4

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArizona State 66

Projected Total155.2

Projected ScoreGonzaga 90

Team Comparison

Arizona StateMetricGonzaga

51MMH Power Index76.4

108.1Offensive Efficiency119.7

110.9Defensive Efficiency94.0

-2.8Net Efficiency25.7

7.0Strength of Schedule3.0

-7.5Last 10 Net Efficiency18.2

70.6Tempo70.4

51.3%Effective FG%55.7%

17.1%Turnover Rate13.6%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %35.0%

40.2%Free Throw Rate31.5%

-1.9Average Margin18.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Gonzaga HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY96.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMGonzaga holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.4–51.0), offensive efficiency (119.7–108.1), defensive efficiency (94.0–110.9), net efficiency (25.7–-2.8).

Arizona State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (7.0–3.0), free throw rate (40.2–31.5).

Final

Arizona State

80—88

Gonzaga

Gonzaga by 8 • 71.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Arizona StateTEAM STATGonzaga

30-63FG31-62

48.0%FG%50.0%

9-293PT8-24

31.0%3PT%33.0%

11-12FT18-22

92.0%FT%82.0%

29Rebounds38

6Offensive Rebounds10

8Assists22

10Turnovers8

5Steals8

3Blocks1

18Fouls10

Player Box Score

Arizona State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Basheer Jihad	Forward	31	7-14	1-4	7-7	10	0	0	1	22
Alston Mason	Guard	35	8-13	2-6	1-1	1	3	0	0	19
BJ Freeman	Guard	27	5-11	2-7	0-0	1	1	0	0	12
Jayden Quaintance	F	28	3-5	0-0	3-4	1	0	1	2	9
Adam Miller	G	30	3-10	2-7	0-0	3	3	2	0	8
Amier Ali	G	12	2-2	1-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	5
Joson Sanon	G	17	1-4	1-3	0-0	1	1	1	0	3
Shawn Phillips Jr.	C	8	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	2
Austin Nunez	G	12	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Gonzaga

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Braden Huff	F	26	9-13	0-2	3-4	4	1	1	0	21
Khalif Battle	Guard	31	4-8	3-6	8-8	7	1	1	0	19
Ryan Nembhard	Guard	36	3-6	1-1	6-8	3	11	1	0	13
Nolan Hickman	Guard	37	4-10	1-6	0-0	3	3	1	0	9
Michael Ajayi	F	29	4-11	1-3	0-0	12	2	3	1	9
Graham Ike	F	14	4-6	0-0	1-2	4	1	0	0	9
Dusty Stromer	G	16	2-4	2-3	0-0	0	2	1	0	6
Ben Gregg	Forward	11	1-4	0-3	0-0	3	1	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

71.6Possessions71.6

111.7Offensive Efficiency122.9

122.9Defensive Efficiency111.7

-11.2Net Efficiency11.2

54.8%Effective FG%56.5%

58.2%True Shooting %60.7%

13.8%Turnover Rate11.4%

19.0%Free Throw Rate35.5%

46.0%3-Point Rate38.7%

0.80Assist / Turnover2.75

Game Summary

Gonzaga won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 71.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.