Morgan State

14-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

41.3%Morgan State

58.7%North Carolina Central

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Carolina Central -3.4

PROJECTED TOTAL152.5

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Carolina Central -142

North Carolina Central

14-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMorgan State 75

Projected Total152.5

Projected ScoreNorth Carolina Central 78

Team Comparison

Morgan StateMetricNorth Carolina Central

37.2MMH Power Index35.8

105.1Offensive Efficiency104.9

109.3Defensive Efficiency110.2

-4.2Net Efficiency-5.3

-9.5Strength of Schedule-8.0

2.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.4

71.6Tempo68.5

48.6%Effective FG%49.8%

17.5%Turnover Rate17.7%

31.3%Offensive Rebound %30.9%

42.9%Free Throw Rate39.7%

-3.0Average Margin-3.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Morgan State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMorgan State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (37.2–35.8), offensive efficiency (105.1–104.9), defensive efficiency (109.3–110.2), net efficiency (-4.2–-5.3).

North Carolina Central COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-8.0–-9.5), shooting efficiency (49.8–48.6).

Final

Morgan State

76—80

North Carolina Central

North Carolina Central by 4 • 72.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Morgan StateTEAM STATNorth Carolina Central

25-71FG26-55

35.0%FG%47.0%

9-243PT8-15

38.0%3PT%53.0%

17-23FT20-25

74.0%FT%80.0%

44Rebounds36

22Offensive Rebounds11

10Assists11

14Turnovers16

7Steals7

2Blocks11

20Fouls17

Player Box Score

Morgan State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Elijah Davis	G	37	8-15	2-3	7-9	5	2	1	0	25
Alfred Worrell Jr.	G	25	5-14	3-7	0-2	6	1	0	0	13
Walter Peggs Jr.	G	20	3-8	3-7	4-4	3	0	2	0	13
Christian Oliver	C	23	5-6	0-0	0-0	7	1	2	0	10
Rob Lawson	G	31	1-13	1-5	2-2	6	5	0	0	5
Christian Meeks	G	38	0-3	0-0	3-4	8	0	2	1	3
Marland Harris	F	8	1-3	0-0	1-2	4	0	0	0	3
Manok Lual	F	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Eugene Alvin	F	6	1-5	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	0	2
David Bumpass	G	3	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Breon Barnett	G	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

North Carolina Central

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Gage Lattimore	G	40	6-14	5-9	4-4	5	1	2	0	21
Dionte Johnson	G	33	5-12	1-3	5-6	5	5	3	0	16
Jae Slack	F	39	3-12	1-2	7-9	4	1	0	0	14
Kelechi Okworogwo	F	38	5-7	0-0	1-2	9	1	1	5	11
Kyric Davis	G	40	5-7	0-0	0-0	10	2	1	6	10
Ryan Archey	G	7	2-3	1-1	2-2	1	1	0	0	7
Justin Edwards	G	1	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Gbenga Olubi	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.9Possessions72.9

104.3Offensive Efficiency109.7

109.7Defensive Efficiency104.3

-5.5Net Efficiency5.5

41.5%Effective FG%54.5%

46.4%True Shooting %59.8%

18.9%Turnover Rate22.3%

32.4%Free Throw Rate45.5%

33.8%3-Point Rate27.3%

0.71Assist / Turnover0.69

Game Summary

North Carolina Central won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 72.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in True Shooting %, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.