Villanova

24-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

64.4%Villanova

35.6%Xavier

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVillanova -3.5

PROJECTED TOTAL156.6

MODEL MONEYLINEVillanova -181

Xavier

15-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVillanova 80

Projected Total156.6

Projected ScoreXavier 77

Team Comparison

VillanovaMetricXavier

59.4MMH Power Index49.5

114.7Offensive Efficiency109.2

105.9Defensive Efficiency112.4

8.8Net Efficiency-3.2

4.4Strength of Schedule5.6

-1.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.4

67.3Tempo71.7

53.9%Effective FG%51.7%

15.0%Turnover Rate13.9%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %26.2%

31.4%Free Throw Rate28.9%

5.9Average Margin-2.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Villanova HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVillanova holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.4–49.5), offensive efficiency (114.7–109.2), defensive efficiency (105.9–112.4), net efficiency (8.8–-3.2).

Xavier COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.6–4.4), ball security (13.9–15.0).

Final

Villanova

92—89

Xavier

Villanova by 3 • 78.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VillanovaTEAM STATXavier

33-75FG34-67

44.0%FG%51.0%

12-343PT10-23

35.0%3PT%43.0%

14-22FT11-13

64.0%FT%85.0%

36Rebounds42

13Offensive Rebounds10

24Assists26

6Turnovers16

12Steals4

4Blocks6

15Fouls17

Player Box Score

Villanova

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Acaden Lewis	G	37	9-18	0-4	3-6	7	6	4	0	21
Tyler Perkins	G	36	6-15	1-6	4-5	3	0	2	1	17
Bryce Lindsay	G	25	5-11	4-8	1-2	0	2	1	0	15
Matt Hodge	F	36	3-7	2-6	2-3	6	1	0	1	10
Duke Brennan	F	35	3-7	0-0	4-6	13	6	1	0	10
Devin Askew	G	15	3-10	3-6	0-0	2	1	1	0	9
Malachi Palmer	G	24	2-4	2-4	0-0	1	2	2	0	6
Braden Pierce	C	9	2-3	0-0	0-0	3	2	0	2	4
Chris Jeffrey	G	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	4	1	0	0

Xavier

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tre Carroll	F	39	11-14	3-5	3-4	10	3	0	2	28
Jovan Milicevic	F	39	8-16	4-7	0-0	9	5	1	3	20
Malik Messina-Moore	G	41	5-15	0-3	5-5	5	7	1	0	15
Isaiah Walker	G	20	4-5	1-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	9
Roddie Anderson III	G	24	2-5	1-2	0-0	7	2	1	0	5
All Wright	G	21	2-3	1-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	5
Anthony Robinson	F	9	2-3	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	1	4
Filip Borovicanin	F	32	0-6	0-2	3-4	3	6	1	0	3

Advanced Game Stats

78.9Possessions78.9

116.6Offensive Efficiency112.8

112.8Defensive Efficiency116.6

3.8Net Efficiency-3.8

52.0%Effective FG%58.2%

53.8%True Shooting %60.8%

7.6%Turnover Rate20.2%

29.3%Free Throw Rate19.4%

45.3%3-Point Rate34.3%

4.00Assist / Turnover1.63

Game Summary

Villanova won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 78.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.