TCU

23-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.5%TCU

55.5%UCF

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUCF -2.0

PROJECTED TOTAL157.2

MODEL MONEYLINEUCF -125

UCF

21-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTCU 78

Projected Total157.2

Projected ScoreUCF 80

Team Comparison

TCUMetricUCF

59.7MMH Power Index57.1

110.2Offensive Efficiency113.3

102.7Defensive Efficiency110.0

7.5Net Efficiency3.3

4.6Strength of Schedule6.6

2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-3.8

70.2Tempo71.2

50.5%Effective FG%53.0%

15.3%Turnover Rate16.0%

33.6%Offensive Rebound %34.3%

38.3%Free Throw Rate31.1%

5.3Average Margin2.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

TCU HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTCU holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.7–57.1), defensive efficiency (102.7–110.0), net efficiency (7.5–3.3), recent form (2.2–-3.8).

UCF COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (113.3–110.2), strength of schedule (6.6–4.6), shooting efficiency (53.0–50.5).

Final

TCU

71—82

UCF

UCF by 11 • 71.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

TCUTEAM STATUCF

25-60FG28-57

42.0%FG%49.0%

4-213PT8-20

19.0%3PT%40.0%

17-27FT18-20

63.0%FT%90.0%

36Rebounds34

13Offensive Rebounds8

9Assists17

12Turnovers12

9Steals8

3Blocks3

17Fouls20

Player Box Score

TCU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Micah Robinson	F	34	6-12	2-3	6-8	9	1	0	0	20
David Punch	F	25	7-12	0-2	0-0	2	3	1	2	14
Xavier Edmonds	F	25	2-6	0-3	8-12	10	1	3	1	12
Jayden Pierre	G	34	5-9	0-3	0-1	2	2	1	0	10
Tanner Toolson	G	32	3-10	1-4	3-6	4	1	3	0	10
Liutauras Lelevicius	G	17	1-4	1-3	0-0	3	0	0	0	3
Brock Harding	G	25	1-6	0-3	0-0	1	1	1	0	2
Vianney Salatchoum	C	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UCF

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Burks	F	32	8-19	5-12	2-2	7	0	1	1	23
Themus Fulks	G	37	5-10	0-0	4-4	2	7	2	1	14
George Beale Jr.	G	12	3-6	3-4	2-2	3	0	0	0	11
Jamichael Stillwell	F	28	3-5	0-0	3-4	6	1	1	0	9
Riley Kugel	G	25	2-5	0-1	4-4	0	3	1	0	8
Jeremy Foumena	C	14	4-5	0-0	0-0	3	1	1	0	8
Devan Cambridge	F	17	3-5	0-2	0-0	6	1	1	0	6
John Bol	C	18	0-1	0-0	2-2	3	1	0	1	2
Chris Johnson	G	17	0-1	0-1	1-2	2	3	1	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

71.2Possessions71.2

99.7Offensive Efficiency115.2

115.2Defensive Efficiency99.7

-15.4Net Efficiency15.4

45.0%Effective FG%56.1%

48.7%True Shooting %61.7%

16.7%Turnover Rate17.0%

45.0%Free Throw Rate35.1%

35.0%3-Point Rate35.1%

0.75Assist / Turnover1.42

Game Summary

UCF won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 71.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.