Ball State

12-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

22.2%Ball State

77.8%Ohio

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADOhio -8.0

PROJECTED TOTAL147.8

MODEL MONEYLINEOhio -350

Ohio

15-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBall State 70

Projected Total147.8

Projected ScoreOhio 78

Team Comparison

Ball StateMetricOhio

41.3MMH Power Index48

101.7Offensive Efficiency109.7

104.7Defensive Efficiency110.7

-3.0Net Efficiency-1.0

-3.9Strength of Schedule-0.1

-0.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.0

66.4Tempo71.0

48.3%Effective FG%52.0%

16.0%Turnover Rate15.3%

26.5%Offensive Rebound %28.9%

33.0%Free Throw Rate37.8%

-2.0Average Margin-0.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Ohio HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY77.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMOhio holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.0–41.3), offensive efficiency (109.7–101.7), net efficiency (-1.0–-3.0), strength of schedule (-0.1–-3.9).

Ball State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.7–110.7), recent form (-0.9–-1.0).

Final

Ball State

57—69

Ohio

Ohio by 12 • 59.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Ball StateTEAM STATOhio

22-54FG22-52

41.0%FG%42.0%

5-183PT8-21

28.0%3PT%38.0%

8-14FT17-21

57.0%FT%81.0%

35Rebounds34

11Offensive Rebounds9

8Assists12

9Turnovers8

6Steals4

2Blocks3

19Fouls12

Player Box Score

Ball State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Devon Barnes	G	19	7-11	3-5	0-0	1	2	0	0	17
Davion Hill	G	37	6-11	0-2	4-4	5	1	1	1	16
Preston Copeland	F	24	3-5	0-0	1-2	10	0	0	0	7
Mason Jones	F	28	2-3	1-2	0-2	1	2	1	0	5
Armoni Zeigler	G	35	1-9	0-1	2-2	4	3	0	0	4
Elmore James IV	G	17	2-6	0-2	0-0	2	0	1	0	4
Juwan Maxey	G	12	1-6	1-6	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Cam Denson	F	15	0-2	0-0	1-4	5	0	1	1	1
Kayden Fish	F	13	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	2	0	0

Ohio

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jackson Paveletzke	G	38	7-16	0-1	4-4	4	6	0	0	18
Aidan Hadaway	F	34	6-11	3-5	3-4	8	2	0	0	18
Ajay Sheldon	G	33	3-8	3-7	3-3	0	1	2	0	12
Javan Simmons	F	28	2-4	1-1	4-4	5	2	1	0	9
JJ Kelly	G	35	2-5	1-2	2-2	6	1	0	1	7
Jalen Breath	F	12	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Jesse Burris	G	5	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Kiir Kuany	F	6	0-2	0-1	1-2	1	0	0	2	1
Dior Conners	G	9	0-3	0-3	0-2	2	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

59.9Possessions59.9

95.2Offensive Efficiency115.2

115.2Defensive Efficiency95.2

-20.0Net Efficiency20.0

45.4%Effective FG%50.0%

47.0%True Shooting %55.7%

15.3%Turnover Rate13.1%

25.9%Free Throw Rate40.4%

33.3%3-Point Rate40.4%

0.89Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

Ohio won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 59.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.