Baylor

16-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

69.1%Baylor

30.9%Kansas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBaylor -4.1

PROJECTED TOTAL164.0

MODEL MONEYLINEBaylor -224

Kansas State

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBaylor 84

Projected Total164.0

Projected ScoreKansas State 80

Team Comparison

BaylorMetricKansas State

58.9MMH Power Index47.1

116.7Offensive Efficiency107.8

109.5Defensive Efficiency110.9

7.2Net Efficiency-3.1

4.0Strength of Schedule5.5

-2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-14.3

69.7Tempo73.8

54.4%Effective FG%53.5%

16.4%Turnover Rate17.4%

37.5%Offensive Rebound %29.4%

34.8%Free Throw Rate27.4%

5.1Average Margin-2.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Baylor HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBaylor holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.9–47.1), offensive efficiency (116.7–107.8), defensive efficiency (109.5–110.9), net efficiency (7.2–-3.1).

Kansas State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.5–4.0).

Final

Baylor

74—90

Kansas State

Kansas State by 16 • 81.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BaylorTEAM STATKansas State

28-70FG34-60

40.0%FG%57.0%

3-243PT8-17

13.0%3PT%47.0%

15-21FT14-17

71.0%FT%82.0%

41Rebounds31

18Offensive Rebounds5

12Assists18

19Turnovers18

11Steals13

5Blocks2

16Fouls18

Player Box Score

Baylor

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaac Williams IV	G	30	6-11	0-2	4-4	3	6	1	0	16
Tounde Yessoufou	G	37	6-14	1-4	1-1	7	1	2	0	14
Cameron Carr	G	36	5-12	0-5	2-2	5	0	3	3	12
Dan Skillings Jr.	G	21	2-8	2-6	5-6	8	1	0	0	11
Obi Agbim	G	32	4-13	0-5	0-0	4	3	4	0	8
Caden Powell	C	24	2-3	0-0	3-6	5	1	0	1	7
Michael Rataj	G	15	2-7	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	1	4
James Nnaji	C	5	1-2	0-0	0-2	2	0	1	0	2

Kansas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
P.J. Haggerty	G	38	15-23	1-2	3-4	5	3	2	0	34
Nate Johnson	G	39	11-16	5-8	6-6	5	9	6	0	33
David Castillo	G	38	2-9	0-3	3-4	1	1	3	0	7
Andrej Kostic	F	12	2-5	2-4	1-2	0	1	0	0	7
Khamari McGriff	F	20	2-3	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	2	4
C.J. Jones	G	10	1-2	0-0	1-1	1	1	1	0	3
Dorin Buca	C	12	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Taj Manning	F	31	0-1	0-0	0-0	8	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

81.1Possessions81.1

91.2Offensive Efficiency111.0

111.0Defensive Efficiency91.2

-19.7Net Efficiency19.7

42.1%Effective FG%63.3%

46.3%True Shooting %66.1%

23.5%Turnover Rate22.2%

30.0%Free Throw Rate28.3%

34.3%3-Point Rate28.3%

0.63Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Kansas State won by 16 points. The game played at approximately 81.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.