Grand Canyon

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

36.8%Grand Canyon

63.2%San Diego State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSan Diego State -4.7

PROJECTED TOTAL147.5

MODEL MONEYLINESan Diego State -172

San Diego State

22-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGrand Canyon 71

Projected Total147.5

Projected ScoreSan Diego State 76

Team Comparison

Grand CanyonMetricSan Diego State

59.8MMH Power Index60.1

109.2Offensive Efficiency110.3

99.1Defensive Efficiency99.3

10.1Net Efficiency11.0

2.0Strength of Schedule3.8

9.7Last 10 Net Efficiency0.4

69.3Tempo70.8

52.1%Effective FG%53.2%

17.6%Turnover Rate17.2%

31.2%Offensive Rebound %30.8%

41.0%Free Throw Rate39.6%

7.0Average Margin7.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

San Diego State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSan Diego State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–59.8), offensive efficiency (110.3–109.2), net efficiency (11.0–10.1), strength of schedule (3.8–2.0).

Grand Canyon COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (99.1–99.3), recent form (9.7–0.4), offensive rebounding (31.2–30.8).

Final

Grand Canyon

73—63

San Diego State

Grand Canyon by 10 • 71.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Grand CanyonTEAM STATSan Diego State

24-56FG22-62

43.0%FG%35.0%

7-193PT3-15

37.0%3PT%20.0%

18-23FT16-18

78.0%FT%89.0%

36Rebounds36

9Offensive Rebounds12

12Assists10

13Turnovers13

8Steals6

3Blocks6

16Fouls19

Player Box Score

Grand Canyon

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaden Henley	G	35	7-17	2-5	5-5	3	2	3	0	21
Efe Demirel	C	28	6-9	0-0	2-6	11	0	0	2	14
Makaih Williams	G	34	3-10	1-4	4-4	7	3	2	0	11
Nana Owusu-Anane	F	32	2-4	2-3	2-2	5	1	2	0	8
Brian Moore Jr.	G	32	2-6	0-1	3-4	0	3	1	0	7
Dusty Stromer	G	19	1-5	1-4	2-2	5	2	0	0	5
Dennis Evans	C	12	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	1	4
Wilhelm Breidenbach	F	8	1-3	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3

San Diego State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Miles Byrd	G	35	6-11	3-6	3-3	4	2	1	4	18
Tae Simmons	F	14	2-2	0-0	5-6	4	0	0	0	9
Taj DeGourville	G	22	3-8	0-1	2-2	4	2	3	0	8
Reese Dixon-Waters	G	32	2-10	0-2	2-2	4	0	0	0	6
BJ Davis	G	21	2-9	0-1	1-2	0	1	1	0	5
Miles Heide	F	14	2-2	0-0	1-1	1	1	0	0	5
Magoon Gwath	F	20	2-8	0-3	0-0	7	1	1	2	4
Sean Newman Jr.	G	20	2-6	0-1	0-0	2	3	0	0	4
Pharaoh Compton	F	13	1-4	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	0	4
Jeremiah Oden	F	9	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.3Possessions71.3

102.4Offensive Efficiency88.4

88.4Defensive Efficiency102.4

14.0Net Efficiency-14.0

49.1%Effective FG%37.9%

54.5%True Shooting %44.6%

18.3%Turnover Rate18.2%

41.1%Free Throw Rate29.0%

33.9%3-Point Rate24.2%

0.92Assist / Turnover0.77

Game Summary

Grand Canyon won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 71.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.