Rutgers

13-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

47.3%Rutgers

52.7%Penn State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPenn State -2.1

PROJECTED TOTAL151.3

MODEL MONEYLINEPenn State -111

Penn State

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreRutgers 75

Projected Total151.3

Projected ScorePenn State 77

Team Comparison

RutgersMetricPenn State

45.9MMH Power Index42.3

104.2Offensive Efficiency109.2

112.2Defensive Efficiency117.6

-8.0Net Efficiency-8.4

3.9Strength of Schedule5.3

-1.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-20.8

67.4Tempo67.5

47.4%Effective FG%53.4%

15.0%Turnover Rate15.6%

29.2%Offensive Rebound %25.6%

36.3%Free Throw Rate34.6%

-5.4Average Margin-5.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Rutgers HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMRutgers holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (45.9–42.3), defensive efficiency (112.2–117.6), net efficiency (-8.0–-8.4), recent form (-1.6–-20.8).

Penn State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (109.2–104.2), strength of schedule (5.3–3.9), shooting efficiency (53.4–47.4).

Final

Rutgers

85—72

Penn State

Rutgers by 13 • 68.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

RutgersTEAM STATPenn State

30-53FG26-47

57.0%FG%55.0%

5-163PT3-17

31.0%3PT%18.0%

20-23FT17-22

87.0%FT%77.0%

26Rebounds24

6Offensive Rebounds6

16Assists12

12Turnovers15

10Steals7

1Blocks2

18Fouls19

Player Box Score

Rutgers

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tariq Francis	G	33	7-12	1-3	7-8	3	7	2	0	22
Dylan Grant	F	27	6-8	1-2	2-2	5	2	1	0	15
Harun Zrno	G	33	4-10	3-9	2-2	4	2	2	0	13
Lino Mark	G	16	5-6	0-0	2-2	1	1	3	0	12
Darren Buchanan Jr.	G	24	3-7	0-1	1-2	3	1	0	0	7
Kaden Powers	G	17	2-6	0-1	1-1	1	1	1	0	5
Chris Nwuli	F	4	0-0	0-0	5-6	0	0	0	0	5
Jamichael Davis	G	21	2-2	0-0	0-0	0	2	0	0	4
Emmanuel Ogbole	C	22	1-2	0-0	0-0	6	0	1	1	2
Bryce Dortch	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Penn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josh Reed	F	32	7-10	1-1	7-7	6	1	0	0	22
Kayden Mingo	G	35	6-8	0-2	4-8	2	6	3	0	16
Freddie Dilione V	G	30	5-10	1-3	0-0	3	2	1	0	11
Melih Tunca	G	24	4-7	1-4	0-0	1	1	0	0	9
Ivan Juric	F	28	4-5	0-1	0-1	3	0	1	1	8
Dominick Stewart	G	28	0-3	0-3	6-6	2	2	1	0	6
Eli Rice	G	14	0-4	0-3	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Mason Blackwood	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Saša Ciani	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Justin Houser	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.2Possessions68.2

124.6Offensive Efficiency105.6

105.6Defensive Efficiency124.6

19.1Net Efficiency-19.1

61.3%Effective FG%58.5%

66.5%True Shooting %62.7%

17.2%Turnover Rate22.6%

43.4%Free Throw Rate46.8%

30.2%3-Point Rate36.2%

1.33Assist / Turnover0.80

Game Summary

Rutgers won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 68.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.