Lafayette

11-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

42.1%Lafayette

57.9%Holy Cross

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADHoly Cross -3.1

PROJECTED TOTAL143.0

MODEL MONEYLINEHoly Cross -138

Holy Cross

11-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLafayette 70

Projected Total143.0

Projected ScoreHoly Cross 73

Team Comparison

LafayetteMetricHoly Cross

39.6MMH Power Index37.9

102.9Offensive Efficiency103.3

110.3Defensive Efficiency110.9

-7.4Net Efficiency-7.6

-1.4Strength of Schedule-2.6

-6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.2

67.5Tempo66.1

49.4%Effective FG%49.8%

15.4%Turnover Rate15.4%

25.7%Offensive Rebound %22.4%

33.0%Free Throw Rate32.5%

-5.0Average Margin-5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Lafayette HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLafayette holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (39.6–37.9), defensive efficiency (110.3–110.9), net efficiency (-7.4–-7.6), strength of schedule (-1.4–-2.6).

Holy Cross COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (103.3–102.9), recent form (-5.2–-6.4), shooting efficiency (49.8–49.4).

Final

Lafayette

86—83

Holy Cross

Lafayette by 3 • 71.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LafayetteTEAM STATHoly Cross

32-57FG30-53

56.0%FG%57.0%

8-173PT6-15

47.0%3PT%40.0%

14-20FT17-22

70.0%FT%77.0%

27Rebounds23

7Offensive Rebounds3

12Assists14

13Turnovers10

5Steals5

1Blocks2

17Fouls20

Player Box Score

Lafayette

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ryan Pettit	G	25	8-14	3-5	0-2	7	1	0	0	19
Caleb Williams	G	30	6-12	1-4	4-4	4	3	1	0	17
Mark Butler	G	29	5-8	0-0	3-5	1	3	0	0	13
Andrew Phillips	G	35	4-7	0-1	4-5	3	2	3	0	12
Shareef Jackson	F	24	5-8	0-0	2-2	6	1	1	1	12
Christian Humphrey-Rembert	F	26	2-5	2-4	0-0	3	0	0	0	6
KaiMani Murdock	G	13	2-3	2-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
Misha Bednostin	C	9	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	2	0	0	1
Luke Bevilacqua	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Ashton Wallace	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Holy Cross

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Aiden Disu	F	28	9-12	1-2	1-2	2	1	0	2	20
Tyler Boston	G	31	5-9	2-5	4-5	3	5	0	0	16
DeAndre Williams	G	31	4-10	1-2	4-5	5	4	2	0	13
Declan Ryan	F	18	5-6	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	11
Gabe Warren	G	35	3-7	1-3	2-4	3	3	2	0	9
Aidan Richard	F	35	3-6	0-1	2-2	4	0	1	0	8
John St. Germain III	G	19	1-3	0-1	4-4	1	1	0	0	6
Chuck Hare	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jude Haigh	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jaden Kirkwood	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.5Possessions71.5

120.3Offensive Efficiency116.1

116.1Defensive Efficiency120.3

4.2Net Efficiency-4.2

63.2%Effective FG%62.3%

64.7%True Shooting %65.4%

17.9%Turnover Rate14.2%

35.1%Free Throw Rate41.5%

29.8%3-Point Rate28.3%

0.92Assist / Turnover1.40

Game Summary

Lafayette won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 71.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.