American University

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

70.8%American University

29.2%Bucknell

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAmerican University -5.4

PROJECTED TOTAL145.7

MODEL MONEYLINEAmerican University -242

Bucknell

10-23

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAmerican University 76

Projected Total145.7

Projected ScoreBucknell 70

Team Comparison

American UniversityMetricBucknell

48.2MMH Power Index35.7

110.6Offensive Efficiency99.5

105.8Defensive Efficiency112.8

4.8Net Efficiency-13.3

-4.3Strength of Schedule2.0

2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.5

67.5Tempo67.7

52.6%Effective FG%48.4%

15.7%Turnover Rate19.0%

28.0%Offensive Rebound %26.6%

30.1%Free Throw Rate30.7%

3.3Average Margin-8.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

American University HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAmerican University holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.2–35.7), offensive efficiency (110.6–99.5), defensive efficiency (105.8–112.8), net efficiency (4.8–-13.3).

Bucknell COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (2.0–-4.3), free throw rate (30.7–30.1).

Final

American University

75—57

Bucknell

American University by 18 • 64.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

American UniversityTEAM STATBucknell

21-52FG22-50

40.0%FG%44.0%

8-243PT3-17

33.0%3PT%18.0%

25-31FT10-14

81.0%FT%71.0%

27Rebounds34

8Offensive Rebounds8

10Assists14

7Turnovers15

7Steals3

4Blocks—

18Fouls25

Player Box Score

American University

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Madden Collins	G	26	7-14	0-2	2-2	4	2	2	2	16
Matt Mayock	F	34	3-3	2-2	2-2	5	1	2	1	10
Kade Sebastian	G	18	3-5	2-4	2-2	5	0	0	0	10
Geoff Sprouse	G	30	3-8	3-7	0-0	3	0	0	0	9
Greg Jones	F	25	1-7	0-1	7-10	3	1	1	0	9
Chris Eagan	F	17	1-4	0-1	6-7	2	0	0	0	8
Wyatt Nausadis	G	25	1-4	1-3	4-6	0	1	0	0	7
Julen Iturbe	F	20	2-5	0-2	2-2	3	5	1	1	6
Dean Hogans	G	3	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Luke Brown	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Bucknell

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Amon Dörries	C	38	7-13	0-2	7-10	5	3	0	21
Achile Spadone	G	38	7-10	3-6	1-2	7	1	0	18
Pat Curtin	G	29	6-15	0-3	0-0	7	5	1	12
Aleksander Pachucki	G	32	2-5	0-2	2-2	2	2	1	6
Quin Berger	G	22	0-4	0-2	0-0	4	0	1	0
Patrick O'Brien	F	14	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0
Jacob Meachem	G	12	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0
Jayden Williams	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0
Grgur Brcic	C	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0
Kellen Welch	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Matt Lange	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.7Possessions64.7

115.9Offensive Efficiency88.1

88.1Defensive Efficiency115.9

27.8Net Efficiency-27.8

48.1%Effective FG%47.0%

56.2%True Shooting %50.3%

10.7%Turnover Rate23.6%

59.6%Free Throw Rate28.0%

46.2%3-Point Rate34.0%

1.43Assist / Turnover0.93

Game Summary

American University won by 18 points. The game played at approximately 64.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.