Jacksonville State

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

39.9%Jacksonville State

60.1%Louisiana Tech

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLouisiana Tech -3.8

PROJECTED TOTAL137.1

MODEL MONEYLINELouisiana Tech -151

Louisiana Tech

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreJacksonville State 67

Projected Total137.1

Projected ScoreLouisiana Tech 70

Team Comparison

Jacksonville StateMetricLouisiana Tech

51.2MMH Power Index50.3

108.2Offensive Efficiency106.1

101.8Defensive Efficiency98.7

6.4Net Efficiency7.4

-2.3Strength of Schedule-5.1

-0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency5.4

67.2Tempo65.9

51.0%Effective FG%49.4%

17.0%Turnover Rate18.5%

31.3%Offensive Rebound %37.3%

44.5%Free Throw Rate33.5%

4.3Average Margin4.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Jacksonville State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMJacksonville State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.2–50.3), offensive efficiency (108.2–106.1), strength of schedule (-2.3–-5.1), shooting efficiency (51.0–49.4).

Louisiana Tech COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (98.7–101.8), net efficiency (7.4–6.4), recent form (5.4–-0.3).

Final

Jacksonville State

71—77

Louisiana Tech

Louisiana Tech by 6 • 70.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Jacksonville StateTEAM STATLouisiana Tech

23-57FG29-53

40.0%FG%55.0%

11-243PT8-20

46.0%3PT%40.0%

14-22FT11-19

64.0%FT%58.0%

29Rebounds36

9Offensive Rebounds7

13Assists23

12Turnovers15

10Steals8

3Blocks7

18Fouls14

Player Box Score

Jacksonville State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mostapha El Moutaouakkil	G	31	9-15	4-7	5-7	5	1	1	0	27
AC Bryant	G	36	6-12	5-10	0-0	2	2	0	1	17
Emondrek Erkins-Ford	F	28	3-6	0-0	3-6	2	1	2	1	9
Marcus Fitzgerald Jr.	G	28	3-9	2-5	0-0	1	1	3	1	8
Iaroslav Niagu	F	15	1-5	0-0	3-3	6	1	0	0	5
Jacoby Hill	G	21	1-6	0-1	1-4	4	1	1	0	3
Jaye Nash	G	26	0-3	0-1	2-2	2	5	2	0	2
Toby Nnadozie	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	0
Jamar Franklin	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Aitor Anabitarte	F	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Louisiana Tech

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
DJ Dudley	G	35	7-12	4-7	4-6	2	1	0	0	22
AJ Bates	G	39	5-11	0-2	3-4	4	15	3	1	13
Avery Thomas II	F	27	4-10	3-6	2-2	10	0	0	1	13
Melian Martinez	C	25	6-7	0-0	1-3	4	0	0	3	13
Jaylen Fenner	G	23	4-5	0-0	0-2	1	1	1	2	8
Kaden Cooper	G	30	1-5	1-4	1-2	10	5	3	0	4
Will Allen	F	21	2-3	0-1	0-0	3	1	1	0	4

Advanced Game Stats

70.3Possessions70.3

101.0Offensive Efficiency109.5

109.5Defensive Efficiency101.0

-8.5Net Efficiency8.5

50.0%Effective FG%62.3%

52.6%True Shooting %62.1%

17.0%Turnover Rate21.4%

38.6%Free Throw Rate35.8%

42.1%3-Point Rate37.7%

1.08Assist / Turnover1.53

Game Summary

Louisiana Tech won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 70.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.