North Dakota State

27-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

63.1%North Dakota State

36.9%South Dakota State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Dakota State -2.9

PROJECTED TOTAL151.3

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Dakota State -171

South Dakota State

14-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Dakota State 77

Projected Total151.3

Projected ScoreSouth Dakota State 74

Team Comparison

North Dakota StateMetricSouth Dakota State

59MMH Power Index49.6

115.4Offensive Efficiency110.6

100.8Defensive Efficiency106.9

14.6Net Efficiency3.7

-4.6Strength of Schedule-2.2

14.3Last 10 Net Efficiency0.5

69.6Tempo68.2

54.5%Effective FG%52.6%

15.5%Turnover Rate16.2%

32.0%Offensive Rebound %31.5%

31.3%Free Throw Rate30.3%

10.1Average Margin2.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Dakota State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Dakota State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.0–49.6), offensive efficiency (115.4–110.6), defensive efficiency (100.8–106.9), net efficiency (14.6–3.7).

South Dakota State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.2–-4.6).

Final

North Dakota State

74—66

South Dakota State

North Dakota State by 8 • 65.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North Dakota StateTEAM STATSouth Dakota State

25-52FG25-56

48.0%FG%45.0%

6-213PT8-26

29.0%3PT%31.0%

18-26FT8-14

69.0%FT%57.0%

33Rebounds35

4Offensive Rebounds7

12Assists21

5Turnovers10

7Steals4

1Blocks—

17Fouls19

Player Box Score

North Dakota State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Damari Wheeler-Thomas	G	34	6-11	3-6	8-11	3	2	0	0	23
Noah Feddersen	F	25	6-7	2-3	5-6	2	0	0	0	19
Markhi Strickland	G	20	3-6	0-0	1-4	1	0	1	0	7
Andy Stefonowicz	G	35	3-9	0-4	0-1	3	4	4	1	6
Trevian Carson	G	33	2-9	0-3	2-2	12	4	0	0	6
Treyson Anderson	F	15	2-5	0-2	2-2	5	1	0	0	6
Emil Skytta	G	15	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	4
Tay Smith	G	18	1-3	1-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	3
Riley Massey	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

South Dakota State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Matthew Mors	F	35	7-12	2-4	2-3	4	3	1	18
Damon Wilkinson	C	28	8-10	0-0	2-6	8	2	1	18
Jaden Jackson	G	35	2-13	2-10	2-2	3	3	0	8
Luke Haertle	G	23	2-4	2-3	2-3	5	4	0	8
Joe Sayler	G	37	2-8	1-4	0-0	3	2	2	5
Kalen Garry	G	27	2-6	1-5	0-0	3	6	0	5
Alec Squires	C	13	2-2	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	4
Caleb Delzell	F	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.6Possessions65.6

112.8Offensive Efficiency100.6

100.6Defensive Efficiency112.8

12.2Net Efficiency-12.2

53.8%Effective FG%51.8%

57.5%True Shooting %52.7%

7.7%Turnover Rate15.2%

50.0%Free Throw Rate25.0%

40.4%3-Point Rate46.4%

2.40Assist / Turnover2.10

Game Summary

North Dakota State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 65.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.