Boise State

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

23.1%Boise State

76.9%Utah State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUtah State -9.2

PROJECTED TOTAL154.8

MODEL MONEYLINEUtah State -333

Utah State

29-7

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBoise State 73

Projected Total154.8

Projected ScoreUtah State 82

Team Comparison

Boise StateMetricUtah State

59.5MMH Power Index65.7

113.9Offensive Efficiency119.7

107.1Defensive Efficiency103.1

6.8Net Efficiency16.6

4.2Strength of Schedule3.5

5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency0.3

68.6Tempo68.6

52.7%Effective FG%56.9%

17.0%Turnover Rate15.1%

33.8%Offensive Rebound %33.0%

42.7%Free Throw Rate39.1%

4.7Average Margin11.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Utah State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUtah State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.7–59.5), offensive efficiency (119.7–113.9), defensive efficiency (103.1–107.1), net efficiency (16.6–6.8).

Boise State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (4.2–3.5), recent form (5.2–0.3), offensive rebounding (33.8–33.0).

Final

Boise State

56—75

Utah State

Utah State by 19 • 60.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Boise StateTEAM STATUtah State

21-57FG29-53

37.0%FG%55.0%

7-223PT8-21

32.0%3PT%38.0%

7-9FT9-13

78.0%FT%69.0%

32Rebounds27

13Offensive Rebounds6

11Assists14

12Turnovers7

3Steals6

2Blocks4

12Fouls11

Player Box Score

Boise State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Drew Fielder	C	23	5-12	2-2	2-2	8	2	0	0	14
Dylan Andrews	G	25	4-11	1-3	0-0	1	2	1	0	9
Dominic Parolin	F	17	4-5	1-1	0-0	3	0	2	0	9
Andrew Meadow	F	32	3-7	1-4	1-1	2	0	0	0	8
Javan Buchanan	F	25	1-7	0-3	3-4	3	2	0	1	5
Aginaldo Neto	G	19	1-4	1-3	1-2	0	3	0	0	4
Bhan Buom	F	4	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Pearson Carmichael	F	24	1-6	0-4	0-0	3	1	0	0	2
Spencer Ahrens	F	15	1-3	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	2
RJ Keene II	G	16	0-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	1	0

Utah State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mason Falslev	G	31	7-14	1-2	2-4	3	1	1	0	17
MJ Collins Jr.	G	30	5-7	1-3	2-2	1	0	0	0	13
Zach Keller	F	23	4-5	1-2	1-2	7	2	1	0	10
Adlan Elamin	F	18	4-5	2-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	10
Karson Templin	F	19	2-5	1-2	2-2	1	0	2	2	7
Garry Clark	F	11	3-3	1-1	0-0	3	0	0	1	7
Drake Allen	G	28	1-7	0-3	2-3	2	6	2	1	4
Kolby King	G	22	1-2	1-2	0-0	4	1	0	0	3
Elijah Perryman	G	12	1-3	0-2	0-0	3	3	0	0	2
Luke Kearney	F	2	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Tucker Anderson	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jordy Barnes	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

60.3Possessions60.3

92.9Offensive Efficiency124.4

124.4Defensive Efficiency92.9

-31.5Net Efficiency31.5

43.0%Effective FG%62.3%

45.7%True Shooting %63.4%

19.9%Turnover Rate11.6%

15.8%Free Throw Rate24.5%

38.6%3-Point Rate39.6%

0.92Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Utah State won by 19 points. The game played at approximately 60.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.