Colorado State

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.5%Colorado State

55.5%UNLV

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUNLV -2.1

PROJECTED TOTAL154.9

MODEL MONEYLINEUNLV -125

UNLV

18-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreColorado State 76

Projected Total154.9

Projected ScoreUNLV 78

Team Comparison

Colorado StateMetricUNLV

55.4MMH Power Index52.8

117.1Offensive Efficiency111.0

109.9Defensive Efficiency109.6

7.2Net Efficiency1.4

0.4Strength of Schedule2.7

4.3Last 10 Net Efficiency1.1

64.7Tempo71.4

58.6%Effective FG%53.7%

18.3%Turnover Rate17.2%

29.2%Offensive Rebound %30.8%

41.2%Free Throw Rate41.6%

4.6Average Margin1.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Colorado State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMColorado State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–52.8), offensive efficiency (117.1–111.0), net efficiency (7.2–1.4), recent form (4.3–1.1).

UNLV COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (109.6–109.9), strength of schedule (2.7–0.4), ball security (17.2–18.3).

Final

Colorado State

91—86

UNLV

Colorado State by 5 • 65.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Colorado StateTEAM STATUNLV

32-54FG30-58

59.0%FG%52.0%

7-203PT9-23

35.0%3PT%39.0%

20-27FT17-23

74.0%FT%74.0%

29Rebounds29

9Offensive Rebounds11

22Assists12

7Turnovers8

5Steals6

2Blocks4

21Fouls23

Player Box Score

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jevin Muniz	G	38	8-11	3-4	1-2	3	4	2	0	20
Brandon Rechsteiner	G	30	8-13	2-6	0-0	4	3	1	0	18
Rashaan Mbemba	F	20	4-5	0-1	5-6	5	3	0	1	13
Jase Butler	G	34	2-5	1-3	4-5	4	3	0	0	9
Darnez Slater	G	18	2-5	0-1	5-6	1	2	2	1	9
Kyle Jorgensen	F	22	2-4	0-1	4-4	1	7	0	0	8
Carey Booth	F	20	3-7	1-3	1-1	2	0	0	0	8
Augustinas Kiudulas	F	18	3-4	0-1	0-3	3	0	0	0	6

UNLV

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn	G	37	11-21	6-12	3-3	1	1	1	0	31
Tyrin Jones	F	29	7-9	0-1	6-9	4	0	2	2	20
Kimani Hamilton	F	34	5-9	2-4	1-1	8	2	0	1	13
Howie Fleming Jr.	G	34	4-6	0-1	1-2	10	5	1	1	9
Issac Williamson	G	29	1-6	1-2	2-2	1	3	0	0	5
Walter Brown	F	19	2-4	0-1	0-0	1	1	2	0	4
Jacob Bannarbie	F	6	0-1	0-0	2-4	1	0	0	0	2
Al Green	G	5	0-2	0-2	2-2	2	0	0	0	2
Emmanuel Stephen	C	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.4Possessions65.4

139.1Offensive Efficiency131.5

131.5Defensive Efficiency139.1

7.6Net Efficiency-7.6

65.7%Effective FG%59.5%

68.1%True Shooting %62.4%

10.8%Turnover Rate12.1%

50.0%Free Throw Rate39.7%

37.0%3-Point Rate39.7%

3.14Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

Colorado State won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 65.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.