VCU

28-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

35.0%VCU

65.0%Saint Louis

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSaint Louis -6.8

PROJECTED TOTAL158.5

MODEL MONEYLINESaint Louis -186

Saint Louis

29-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVCU 76

Projected Total158.5

Projected ScoreSaint Louis 83

Team Comparison

VCUMetricSaint Louis

65.7MMH Power Index66.7

116.4Offensive Efficiency120.8

103.3Defensive Efficiency97.6

13.1Net Efficiency23.2

5.4Strength of Schedule0.3

6.0Last 10 Net Efficiency0.1

69.5Tempo72.2

53.7%Effective FG%59.9%

15.1%Turnover Rate17.1%

31.7%Offensive Rebound %31.6%

42.9%Free Throw Rate33.9%

9.1Average Margin16.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Saint Louis HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSaint Louis holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (66.7–65.7), offensive efficiency (120.8–116.4), defensive efficiency (97.6–103.3), net efficiency (23.2–13.1).

VCU COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.4–0.3), recent form (6.0–0.1), ball security (15.1–17.1).

Final

VCU

75—88

Saint Louis

Saint Louis by 13 • 77.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VCUTEAM STATSaint Louis

21-64FG34-66

33.0%FG%52.0%

9-293PT10-25

31.0%3PT%40.0%

24-32FT10-19

75.0%FT%53.0%

42Rebounds42

18Offensive Rebounds13

10Assists16

16Turnovers15

11Steals9

3Blocks4

16Fouls21

Player Box Score

VCU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Lazar Djokovic	F	32	6-13	2-6	5-7	7	1	2	2	19
Brandon Jennings	G	35	5-11	2-6	6-7	7	3	4	1	18
Nyk Lewis	G	25	2-10	1-2	4-7	8	0	3	0	9
Michael Belle	F	24	3-7	1-3	0-0	6	0	1	0	7
Jadrian Tracey	G	13	2-5	1-2	2-2	2	2	1	0	7
Barry Evans	F	31	1-4	1-2	3-4	8	1	0	0	6
Terrence Hill Jr.	G	25	1-11	0-7	4-5	1	3	0	0	6
Tyrell Ward	G	15	1-3	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3

Saint Louis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kellen Thames	G	17	7-8	0-0	2-4	4	0	5	1	16
Robbie Avila	C	28	5-8	2-4	1-1	4	2	1	1	13
Amari McCottry	G	25	6-13	0-3	1-6	5	2	1	1	13
Ishan Sharma	F	25	4-7	4-6	1-2	4	3	0	0	13
Quentin Jones	G	28	5-8	1-1	0-0	4	3	0	0	11
Trey Green	G	21	3-6	3-6	0-0	2	1	1	0	9
Paul Otieno	F	17	1-2	0-0	5-6	8	1	1	0	7
Dion Brown	G	23	3-9	0-1	0-0	7	2	0	0	6
Brady Dunlap	F	16	0-5	0-4	0-0	2	2	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

77.1Possessions77.1

97.3Offensive Efficiency114.1

114.1Defensive Efficiency97.3

-16.9Net Efficiency16.9

39.8%Effective FG%59.1%

47.3%True Shooting %58.6%

20.7%Turnover Rate19.5%

50.0%Free Throw Rate28.8%

45.3%3-Point Rate37.9%

0.63Assist / Turnover1.07

Game Summary

Saint Louis won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 77.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.