Siena

23-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.8%Siena

62.2%Merrimack

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMerrimack -3.4

PROJECTED TOTAL134.0

MODEL MONEYLINEMerrimack -165

Merrimack

23-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSiena 65

Projected Total134.0

Projected ScoreMerrimack 69

Team Comparison

SienaMetricMerrimack

53.8MMH Power Index53.7

109.2Offensive Efficiency106.4

102.2Defensive Efficiency103.2

7.0Net Efficiency3.2

-0.5Strength of Schedule0.7

3.0Last 10 Net Efficiency12.9

64.4Tempo64.4

50.7%Effective FG%49.3%

15.8%Turnover Rate14.8%

31.4%Offensive Rebound %24.7%

34.9%Free Throw Rate39.5%

4.5Average Margin2.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Siena HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSiena holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.8–53.7), offensive efficiency (109.2–106.4), defensive efficiency (102.2–103.2), net efficiency (7.0–3.2).

Merrimack COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.7–-0.5), recent form (12.9–3.0), ball security (14.8–15.8).

Final

Siena

72—79

Merrimack

Merrimack by 7 • 63.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

SienaTEAM STATMerrimack

24-51FG21-53

47.0%FG%40.0%

5-203PT11-25

25.0%3PT%44.0%

19-24FT26-26

79.0%FT%100.0%

32Rebounds28

11Offensive Rebounds10

11Assists12

12Turnovers8

2Steals9

3Blocks4

15Fouls14

Player Box Score

Siena

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Gavin Doty	G	45	6-12	1-3	9-9	5	3	0	0	22
Antonio Chandler	F	42	7-9	0-0	4-7	12	1	0	1	18
Francis Folefac	F	38	3-9	0-0	4-6	6	5	0	2	10
Brendan Coyle	F	39	2-10	2-10	0-0	4	0	1	0	6
Isaiah Henderson	F	21	2-5	1-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Christian Jones	G	19	2-4	1-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Justice Shoats	G	11	1-1	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	4
Riley Mulvey	C	10	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	2	1	0	2

Merrimack

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kevair Kennedy	G	45	8-21	0-1	16-16	1	2	1	0	32
Ernest Shelton	G	45	6-13	5-11	0-0	7	2	1	0	17
Tye Dorset	G	45	4-13	3-9	2-2	4	0	1	0	13
Andrés Marrero	G	32	1-3	1-2	5-5	0	1	2	0	8
Todd Brogna	F	28	2-3	2-2	0-0	5	4	2	1	6
KC Ugwuakazi	F	24	0-0	0-0	3-3	7	3	2	3	3
Dylan Veillette	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.4Possessions63.4

113.6Offensive Efficiency124.6

124.6Defensive Efficiency113.6

-11.0Net Efficiency11.0

52.0%Effective FG%50.0%

57.7%True Shooting %60.4%

18.9%Turnover Rate12.6%

47.1%Free Throw Rate49.1%

39.2%3-Point Rate47.2%

0.92Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

Merrimack won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 63.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.