Southern Illinois

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

22.8%Southern Illinois

77.2%Northern Iowa

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Iowa -8.4

PROJECTED TOTAL135.8

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Iowa -339

Northern Iowa

23-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouthern Illinois 64

Projected Total135.8

Projected ScoreNorthern Iowa 72

Team Comparison

Southern IllinoisMetricNorthern Iowa

54.6MMH Power Index61

103.4Offensive Efficiency108.4

98.5Defensive Efficiency96.4

4.9Net Efficiency12.0

1.6Strength of Schedule2.2

7.7Last 10 Net Efficiency13.9

70.6Tempo64.1

49.5%Effective FG%54.6%

17.0%Turnover Rate14.4%

31.1%Offensive Rebound %21.9%

32.3%Free Throw Rate26.2%

3.4Average Margin7.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Iowa HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY77.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Iowa holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.0–54.6), offensive efficiency (108.4–103.4), defensive efficiency (96.4–98.5), net efficiency (12.0–4.9).

Southern Illinois COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (31.1–21.9), free throw rate (32.3–26.2).

Final

Southern Illinois

59—57

Northern Iowa

Southern Illinois by 2 • 61.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Southern IllinoisTEAM STATNorthern Iowa

26-51FG23-52

51.0%FG%44.0%

6-163PT4-17

38.0%3PT%24.0%

1-3FT7-9

33.0%FT%78.0%

29Rebounds26

9Offensive Rebounds9

15Assists9

18Turnovers14

8Steals12

3Blocks3

12Fouls11

Player Box Score

Southern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Quel'Ron House	G	39	10-17	0-1	1-1	4	5	2	0	21
Drew Steffe	G	39	5-7	4-5	0-0	2	3	1	1	14
Davion Sykes	G	21	3-4	0-0	0-0	3	2	1	0	6
Rolyns Aligbe	F	28	2-6	1-4	0-0	6	1	2	2	5
Jalen Haynes	G	22	2-6	0-2	0-0	4	1	0	0	4
Jaheem Webber	C	12	2-3	0-0	0-0	6	2	0	0	4
Max Pikaar	F	6	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Prince Aligbe	F	19	1-2	0-1	0-2	2	0	0	0	2
Damien Mayo Jr.	G	14	0-5	0-2	0-0	0	0	2	0	0

Northern Iowa

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Trey Campbell	G	37	8-16	0-4	0-0	2	2	1	0	16
Will Hornseth	F	28	5-8	0-0	4-5	3	2	2	1	14
Tristan Smith	F	21	3-4	0-0	2-2	3	0	4	0	8
Max Weisbrod	G	27	2-5	2-4	0-0	4	1	1	0	6
Leon Bond III	F	30	2-8	0-3	0-0	3	2	0	1	4
Ben Schwieger	F	24	1-6	0-3	1-2	2	1	3	1	3
Ismael Diouf	F	12	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Kyle Pock	F	6	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Geon Hutchins	G	12	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
RJ Taylor	G	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.4Possessions61.4

96.1Offensive Efficiency92.8

92.8Defensive Efficiency96.1

3.3Net Efficiency-3.3

56.9%Effective FG%48.1%

56.3%True Shooting %50.6%

29.3%Turnover Rate22.8%

5.9%Free Throw Rate17.3%

31.4%3-Point Rate32.7%

0.83Assist / Turnover0.64

Game Summary

Southern Illinois won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 61.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.