Evansville

7-25

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

4.9%Evansville

95.1%Murray State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMurray State -19.2

PROJECTED TOTAL156.0

MODEL MONEYLINEMurray State -1941

Murray State

20-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreEvansville 68

Projected Total156.0

Projected ScoreMurray State 88

Team Comparison

EvansvilleMetricMurray State

31.6MMH Power Index53.6

98.5Offensive Efficiency115.0

112.4Defensive Efficiency111.0

-13.9Net Efficiency4.0

1.8Strength of Schedule3.5

-23.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.5

68.0Tempo72.3

50.0%Effective FG%54.0%

18.9%Turnover Rate16.3%

22.2%Offensive Rebound %32.7%

30.8%Free Throw Rate39.1%

-9.5Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Murray State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY95.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMurray State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–31.6), offensive efficiency (115.0–98.5), defensive efficiency (111.0–112.4), net efficiency (4.0–-13.9).

Final

Evansville

75—88

Murray State

Murray State by 13 • 72.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

EvansvilleTEAM STATMurray State

29-60FG25-60

48.0%FG%42.0%

12-293PT14-36

41.0%3PT%39.0%

5-6FT24-26

83.0%FT%92.0%

26Rebounds37

2Offensive Rebounds9

13Assists16

12Turnovers8

3Steals8

3Blocks3

22Fouls15

Player Box Score

Evansville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
AJ Casey	F	35	8-18	1-5	2-2	3	4	2	0	19
Leif Moeller	G	34	6-10	2-3	3-4	6	4	0	1	17
Joshua Hughes	F	33	6-11	4-8	0-0	4	1	0	2	16
Alex Hemenway	G	37	5-9	4-8	0-0	3	1	1	0	14
Bryce Quinet	G	35	4-11	1-4	0-0	3	3	0	0	9
Trent Hundley	F	19	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	0
Kaia Berridge	G	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Murray State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
KJ Tenner	G	39	4-8	3-6	9-10	5	6	1	0	20
Roman Domon	G	28	5-9	2-5	8-9	8	2	3	0	20
Javon Jackson	G	27	4-12	3-7	2-2	0	3	0	0	13
Mathis Courbon	G	16	4-6	3-5	0-0	0	2	1	1	11
Brayden Shorter	G	14	2-7	2-7	2-2	4	0	0	0	8
Fred King	C	24	3-6	0-0	1-1	4	1	0	1	7
Mason Miller	F	24	1-4	1-4	2-2	6	1	2	0	5
Brock Vice	F	16	1-3	0-1	0-0	7	1	1	1	2
JJ Traynor	F	12	1-5	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

72.2Possessions72.2

103.9Offensive Efficiency121.9

121.9Defensive Efficiency103.9

-18.0Net Efficiency18.0

58.3%Effective FG%53.3%

59.7%True Shooting %60.8%

16.5%Turnover Rate11.2%

10.0%Free Throw Rate43.3%

48.3%3-Point Rate60.0%

1.08Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Murray State won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 72.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.