Illinois State

23-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.3%Illinois State

62.7%Bradley

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBradley -3.3

PROJECTED TOTAL148.2

MODEL MONEYLINEBradley -168

Bradley

21-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIllinois State 72

Projected Total148.2

Projected ScoreBradley 76

Team Comparison

Illinois StateMetricBradley

54.3MMH Power Index54.4

110.6Offensive Efficiency110.5

101.4Defensive Efficiency105.3

9.2Net Efficiency5.2

1.0Strength of Schedule1.6

-4.4Last 10 Net Efficiency0.9

67.5Tempo69.9

54.3%Effective FG%51.2%

16.8%Turnover Rate13.9%

28.3%Offensive Rebound %27.7%

32.0%Free Throw Rate37.2%

6.2Average Margin3.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois State holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (110.6–110.5), defensive efficiency (101.4–105.3), net efficiency (9.2–5.2), shooting efficiency (54.3–51.2).

Bradley COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (54.4–54.3), strength of schedule (1.6–1.0), recent form (0.9–-4.4).

Final

Illinois State

60—74

Bradley

Bradley by 14 • 64.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Illinois StateTEAM STATBradley

22-53FG30-59

42.0%FG%51.0%

8-223PT3-18

36.0%3PT%17.0%

8-10FT11-16

80.0%FT%69.0%

29Rebounds33

7Offensive Rebounds10

11Assists12

15Turnovers6

2Steals9

—Blocks3

16Fouls13

Player Box Score

Illinois State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Landon Wolf	G	29	4-8	2-3	2-2	3	1	0	12
Mason Klabo	G	25	3-8	1-4	5-5	7	1	1	12
Ty Pence	G	25	5-8	1-1	0-1	6	2	0	11
Johnny Kinziger	G	35	3-11	1-5	0-0	2	5	0	7
Jack Daugherty	F	14	2-3	2-3	1-2	2	0	0	7
Boden Skunberg	G	24	2-4	1-3	0-0	3	0	0	5
Brandon Lieb	F	13	2-4	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	4
Ty'Reek Coleman	G	13	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	2
Landon Moore	G	22	0-4	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0

Bradley

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaquan Johnson	G	33	8-16	1-3	6-6	2	4	2	0	23
Ahmet Jonovic	C	21	5-7	0-0	4-7	6	1	0	1	14
Timoty van der Knaap	G	32	5-10	1-6	0-0	6	1	1	0	11
Alex Huibregtse	G	35	5-12	0-4	0-0	3	3	2	1	10
AJ Smith	F	28	3-4	1-2	0-0	8	0	1	0	7
Montana Wheeler	G	19	2-5	0-1	1-2	1	1	1	0	5
Corey Thomas	F	19	1-3	0-2	0-1	3	2	1	1	2
Demarion Burch	G	7	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Kai Yu	C	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.2Possessions64.2

93.5Offensive Efficiency115.3

115.3Defensive Efficiency93.5

-21.8Net Efficiency21.8

49.1%Effective FG%53.4%

51.9%True Shooting %55.6%

22.8%Turnover Rate9.6%

18.9%Free Throw Rate27.1%

41.5%3-Point Rate30.5%

0.73Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Bradley won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 64.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.