American University

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

61.0%American University

39.0%Lafayette

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAmerican University -2.6

PROJECTED TOTAL145.8

MODEL MONEYLINEAmerican University -156

Lafayette

11-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAmerican University 74

Projected Total145.8

Projected ScoreLafayette 72

Team Comparison

American UniversityMetricLafayette

48.2MMH Power Index39.6

110.6Offensive Efficiency102.9

105.8Defensive Efficiency110.3

4.8Net Efficiency-7.4

-4.3Strength of Schedule-1.4

2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.4

67.5Tempo67.5

52.6%Effective FG%49.4%

15.7%Turnover Rate15.4%

28.0%Offensive Rebound %25.7%

30.1%Free Throw Rate33.0%

3.3Average Margin-5.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

American University HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAmerican University holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.2–39.6), offensive efficiency (110.6–102.9), defensive efficiency (105.8–110.3), net efficiency (4.8–-7.4).

Lafayette COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.4–-4.3), ball security (15.4–15.7), free throw rate (33.0–30.1).

Final

American University

75—61

Lafayette

American University by 14 • 58.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

American UniversityTEAM STATLafayette

27-55FG24-48

49.0%FG%50.0%

13-263PT2-12

50.0%3PT%17.0%

8-11FT11-16

73.0%FT%69.0%

31Rebounds25

7Offensive Rebounds5

16Assists18

7Turnovers7

5Steals3

—Blocks3

16Fouls14

Player Box Score

American University

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Geoff Sprouse	G	31	10-13	8-11	0-0	4	4	3	28
Greg Jones	F	33	4-6	1-1	3-4	7	2	1	12
Madden Collins	G	28	5-11	0-1	2-2	3	1	1	12
Julen Iturbe	F	28	3-7	3-4	0-0	6	5	0	9
Matt Mayock	F	30	2-7	0-3	2-3	3	2	0	6
Kade Sebastian	G	22	2-6	1-4	0-0	6	2	0	5
Chris Eagan	F	9	1-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	2
Wyatt Nausadis	G	15	0-2	0-2	1-2	0	0	0	1
Dean Hogans	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Lafayette

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mark Butler	G	37	5-8	1-1	6-7	1	8	0	0	17
Shareef Jackson	F	26	7-11	0-0	1-2	5	0	1	0	15
Ryan Pettit	G	30	5-9	0-1	3-5	4	1	0	0	13
Andrew Phillips	G	37	3-11	1-5	1-2	4	3	1	0	8
KaiMani Murdock	G	27	2-4	0-2	0-0	5	1	0	3	4
Misha Bednostin	C	9	2-2	0-0	0-0	0	2	0	0	4
Christian Humphrey-Rembert	F	34	0-3	0-3	0-0	5	3	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

58.9Possessions58.9

127.3Offensive Efficiency103.6

103.6Defensive Efficiency127.3

23.8Net Efficiency-23.8

60.9%Effective FG%52.1%

62.3%True Shooting %54.9%

11.6%Turnover Rate12.2%

20.0%Free Throw Rate33.3%

47.3%3-Point Rate25.0%

2.29Assist / Turnover2.57

Game Summary

American University won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 58.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.