UAlbany

11-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

8.1%UAlbany

91.9%UMBC

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUMBC -15.6

PROJECTED TOTAL138.5

MODEL MONEYLINEUMBC -1135

UMBC

24-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUAlbany 61

Projected Total138.5

Projected ScoreUMBC 77

Team Comparison

UAlbanyMetricUMBC

41.9MMH Power Index59.1

107.9Offensive Efficiency113.0

108.8Defensive Efficiency99.0

-0.9Net Efficiency14.0

-6.1Strength of Schedule-5.6

0.0Last 10 Net Efficiency24.7

64.3Tempo65.5

52.8%Effective FG%54.3%

18.6%Turnover Rate14.3%

34.3%Offensive Rebound %25.2%

25.0%Free Throw Rate34.1%

-0.6Average Margin9.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UMBC HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUMBC holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.1–41.9), offensive efficiency (113.0–107.9), defensive efficiency (99.0–108.8), net efficiency (14.0–-0.9).

UAlbany COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (34.3–25.2).

Final

UAlbany

62—66

UMBC

UMBC by 4 • 59.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UAlbanyTEAM STATUMBC

26-50FG24-57

52.0%FG%42.0%

7-173PT8-20

41.0%3PT%40.0%

3-4FT10-13

75.0%FT%77.0%

28Rebounds30

5Offensive Rebounds10

8Assists12

12Turnovers7

4Steals6

3Blocks1

14Fouls10

Player Box Score

UAlbany

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tarique Foster	F	37	6-8	5-6	0-0	3	0	0	0	17
Amir Lindsey	G	40	6-12	1-5	2-2	4	2	0	0	15
Okechukwu Okeke	F	38	7-9	0-0	0-0	8	0	3	1	14
Ma'Kye Taylor	F	24	4-8	0-1	0-0	3	2	0	1	8
Jaden Kempson	G	36	2-10	1-3	0-0	4	3	0	0	5
Miles Rose	G	9	1-1	0-0	1-2	1	0	1	0	3
Isaac Abidde	F	16	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	1	0

UMBC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ace Valentine	G	35	4-11	2-5	4-4	3	5	3	0	14
Jah'Likai King	G	34	6-11	1-4	0-0	3	2	1	0	13
Jose Roberto Tanchyn	F	29	4-8	2-4	0-1	5	2	2	1	10
Caden Diggs	F	22	4-11	2-3	0-0	7	1	0	0	10
Josh Odunowo	F	27	2-6	0-0	4-4	6	1	0	0	8
DJ Armstrong Jr.	G	34	3-7	1-3	0-0	0	1	0	0	7
Riley Jacobs	F	11	1-1	0-0	2-4	4	0	0	0	4
Cougar Downing	G	5	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Paul Greene	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

59.6Possessions59.6

104.0Offensive Efficiency110.7

110.7Defensive Efficiency104.0

-6.7Net Efficiency6.7

59.0%Effective FG%49.1%

59.7%True Shooting %52.2%

20.4%Turnover Rate11.6%

8.0%Free Throw Rate22.8%

34.0%3-Point Rate35.1%

0.67Assist / Turnover1.71

Game Summary

UMBC won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 59.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.