Texas State

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

66.7%Texas State

33.3%Louisiana

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTexas State -3.7

PROJECTED TOTAL139.0

MODEL MONEYLINETexas State -200

Louisiana

11-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTexas State 71

Projected Total139.0

Projected ScoreLouisiana 68

Team Comparison

Texas StateMetricLouisiana

49.4MMH Power Index38.6

107.7Offensive Efficiency99.3

103.4Defensive Efficiency110.2

4.3Net Efficiency-10.9

-4.7Strength of Schedule1.5

9.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.0

68.6Tempo64.1

51.3%Effective FG%47.1%

18.4%Turnover Rate16.8%

34.3%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

36.0%Free Throw Rate29.5%

2.9Average Margin-7.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Texas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTexas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.4–38.6), offensive efficiency (107.7–99.3), defensive efficiency (103.4–110.2), net efficiency (4.3–-10.9).

Louisiana COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.5–-4.7), ball security (16.8–18.4).

Final

Texas State

54—67

Louisiana

Louisiana by 13 • 59.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Texas StateTEAM STATLouisiana

19-52FG22-45

37.0%FG%49.0%

2-123PT9-13

17.0%3PT%69.0%

14-18FT14-19

78.0%FT%74.0%

34Rebounds26

15Offensive Rebounds7

6Assists9

14Turnovers13

5Steals7

3Blocks8

19Fouls18

Player Box Score

Texas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
DJ Hall	F	30	7-14	0-0	4-6	7	2	0	1	18
Mark Drone	G	23	3-11	0-2	4-4	3	2	0	0	10
Kaden Gumbs	G	35	3-5	0-1	3-4	3	1	3	0	9
Franck Emmou	G	23	2-6	1-2	2-2	3	1	0	0	7
Kyndall Davis	G	33	2-6	1-4	0-0	6	0	0	0	5
Robert Fields	C	18	1-5	0-1	1-2	3	0	1	0	3
Tay Knox	C	16	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	2	2
Jalen Bolden	G	19	0-4	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Makai Willis	C	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Louisiana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaxon Olvera	G	27	7-14	2-3	4-6	4	1	1	0	20
Dorian Finister	G	35	5-10	1-1	4-6	5	5	0	1	15
Dariyus Woodson	F	26	4-4	4-4	0-0	2	0	1	0	12
Todd Jones Jr.	F	29	2-3	0-0	4-4	8	0	0	6	8
De'Vion Lavergne	G	26	2-9	1-2	0-0	1	1	1	0	5
Mike Collins	G	14	1-1	0-0	2-3	1	1	0	1	4
Milan Mejia	G	21	1-2	1-2	0-0	3	1	3	0	3
Karris Bilal	G	16	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jeremiah Evans	F	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Kyran Ratliff	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

59.8Possessions59.8

90.3Offensive Efficiency112.0

112.0Defensive Efficiency90.3

-21.7Net Efficiency21.7

38.5%Effective FG%58.9%

44.6%True Shooting %62.0%

23.5%Turnover Rate21.7%

34.6%Free Throw Rate42.2%

23.1%3-Point Rate28.9%

0.43Assist / Turnover0.69

Game Summary

Louisiana won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 59.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.