Xavier

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

29.6%Xavier

70.4%Butler

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADButler -6.8

PROJECTED TOTAL161.9

MODEL MONEYLINEButler -238

Butler

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreXavier 78

Projected Total161.9

Projected ScoreButler 84

Team Comparison

XavierMetricButler

49.5MMH Power Index52.7

109.2Offensive Efficiency111.7

112.4Defensive Efficiency109.1

-3.2Net Efficiency2.6

5.6Strength of Schedule3.1

-7.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.5

71.7Tempo71.1

51.7%Effective FG%51.2%

13.9%Turnover Rate15.9%

26.2%Offensive Rebound %34.4%

28.9%Free Throw Rate42.9%

-2.3Average Margin1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Butler HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMButler holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (52.7–49.5), offensive efficiency (111.7–109.2), defensive efficiency (109.1–112.4), net efficiency (2.6–-3.2).

Xavier COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.6–3.1), recent form (-7.4–-8.5), shooting efficiency (51.7–51.2).

Final

Xavier

75—80

Butler

Butler by 5 • 68.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

XavierTEAM STATButler

28-63FG26-55

44.0%FG%47.0%

10-323PT3-11

31.0%3PT%27.0%

9-11FT25-33

82.0%FT%76.0%

32Rebounds35

8Offensive Rebounds8

13Assists14

7Turnovers6

3Steals2

4Blocks2

21Fouls8

Player Box Score

Xavier

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tre Carroll	F	38	10-19	4-7	0-0	7	4	1	1	24
Malik Messina-Moore	G	35	7-12	2-6	4-5	5	2	1	1	20
Jovan Milicevic	F	21	3-5	1-2	3-4	2	2	0	0	10
All Wright	G	21	3-7	2-6	0-0	1	1	0	0	8
Isaiah Walker	G	26	2-6	1-5	0-0	3	0	0	1	5
Filip Borovicanin	F	30	1-7	0-3	2-2	10	2	0	1	4
Roddie Anderson III	G	21	2-6	0-3	0-0	1	2	1	0	4
Anthony Robinson	F	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Pape N'Diaye	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Butler

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Michael Ajayi	F	35	11-21	1-3	1-4	9	2	0	1	24
Yohan Traore	F	24	5-5	0-0	11-13	3	1	0	0	21
Finley Bizjack	G	38	4-12	1-3	9-10	3	2	0	0	18
Jamie Kaiser Jr.	G	32	2-5	1-2	2-2	8	2	1	0	7
Yame Butler	G	23	2-5	0-1	2-2	1	1	1	1	6
Efeosa Oliogu-Elabor	F	21	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	2	0	0	2
Jackson Keith	F	12	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Drayton Jones	C	15	0-2	0-0	0-2	4	3	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.0Possessions68.0

110.3Offensive Efficiency117.6

117.6Defensive Efficiency110.3

-7.4Net Efficiency7.4

52.4%Effective FG%50.0%

55.0%True Shooting %56.6%

10.4%Turnover Rate8.7%

17.5%Free Throw Rate60.0%

50.8%3-Point Rate20.0%

1.86Assist / Turnover2.33

Game Summary

Butler won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 68.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.