Duquesne

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

17.7%Duquesne

82.3%Dayton

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADDayton -9.7

PROJECTED TOTAL150.0

MODEL MONEYLINEDayton -465

Dayton

25-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDuquesne 70

Projected Total150.0

Projected ScoreDayton 80

Team Comparison

DuquesneMetricDayton

50.7MMH Power Index59.9

110.6Offensive Efficiency108.5

106.2Defensive Efficiency101.5

4.4Net Efficiency7.0

0.6Strength of Schedule5.7

-5.9Last 10 Net Efficiency6.4

70.8Tempo68.3

53.4%Effective FG%52.0%

17.7%Turnover Rate16.9%

30.6%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

38.2%Free Throw Rate47.6%

3.1Average Margin4.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Dayton HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY82.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDayton holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.9–50.7), defensive efficiency (101.5–106.2), net efficiency (7.0–4.4), strength of schedule (5.7–0.6).

Duquesne COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (110.6–108.5), shooting efficiency (53.4–52.0), offensive rebounding (30.6–26.7).

Final

Duquesne

66—78

Dayton

Dayton by 12 • 64.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DuquesneTEAM STATDayton

20-53FG23-52

38.0%FG%44.0%

8-193PT8-21

42.0%3PT%38.0%

18-24FT24-32

75.0%FT%75.0%

33Rebounds34

13Offensive Rebounds11

12Assists14

13Turnovers8

3Steals5

4Blocks6

22Fouls18

Player Box Score

Duquesne

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tarence Guinyard	G	34	4-10	3-7	5-7	3	4	2	0	16
David Dixon	F	21	3-7	0-0	5-7	7	0	1	3	11
Jimmie Williams	G	30	3-14	2-5	2-2	6	1	0	0	10
Alex Williams	F	27	3-10	2-4	1-2	4	4	0	0	9
Brandon Hall	G	27	2-2	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	1	6
Jake DiMichele	G	18	2-4	1-2	1-2	2	1	0	0	6
Jakub Necas	F	18	2-4	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
John Hugley IV	F	13	0-0	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	0	2
Cam Crawford	G	10	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	2
Stef van Bussel	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Dayton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Amaël L'Etang	F	31	5-7	3-4	4-8	10	5	0	2	17
Javon Bennett	G	37	5-10	2-4	2-2	2	0	1	0	14
Keonte Jones	G	31	3-7	0-2	7-8	7	0	1	1	13
De'Shayne Montgomery	G	27	4-11	1-5	0-1	3	4	0	1	9
Jordan Derkack	G	23	2-8	0-2	5-7	5	2	2	0	9
Jaiun Simon	F	23	2-3	1-2	2-2	3	1	1	2	7
Bryce Heard	G	22	2-5	1-2	2-2	3	2	0	0	7
Malcolm Thomas	F	4	0-1	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Jacob Conner	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.3Possessions64.3

102.6Offensive Efficiency121.3

121.3Defensive Efficiency102.6

-18.7Net Efficiency18.7

45.3%Effective FG%51.9%

51.2%True Shooting %58.0%

20.2%Turnover Rate12.5%

45.3%Free Throw Rate61.5%

35.8%3-Point Rate40.4%

0.92Assist / Turnover1.75

Game Summary

Dayton won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 64.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.