Penn State

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

3.7%Penn State

96.3%Nebraska

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNebraska -22.1

PROJECTED TOTAL149.7

MODEL MONEYLINENebraska -2603

Nebraska

28-7

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePenn State 64

Projected Total149.7

Projected ScoreNebraska 86

Team Comparison

Penn StateMetricNebraska

42.3MMH Power Index67

109.2Offensive Efficiency114.4

117.6Defensive Efficiency98.3

-8.4Net Efficiency16.1

5.3Strength of Schedule6.1

-20.8Last 10 Net Efficiency6.8

67.5Tempo67.3

53.4%Effective FG%55.6%

15.6%Turnover Rate14.4%

25.6%Offensive Rebound %26.3%

34.6%Free Throw Rate26.9%

-5.7Average Margin10.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Nebraska HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY96.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNebraska holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (67.0–42.3), offensive efficiency (114.4–109.2), defensive efficiency (98.3–117.6), net efficiency (16.1–-8.4).

Penn State COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (34.6–26.9).

Final

Penn State

64—87

Nebraska

Nebraska by 23 • 69.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Penn StateTEAM STATNebraska

24-57FG32-62

42.0%FG%52.0%

4-203PT14-35

20.0%3PT%40.0%

12-17FT9-12

71.0%FT%75.0%

33Rebounds36

10Offensive Rebounds10

13Assists22

15Turnovers11

6Steals7

1Blocks4

13Fouls14

Player Box Score

Penn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kayden Mingo	G	35	5-11	0-2	3-5	4	6	1	0	13
Ivan Juric	F	28	6-8	0-2	1-2	10	1	0	1	13
Josh Reed	F	26	4-14	2-5	1-1	5	2	2	0	11
Melih Tunca	G	23	3-5	0-1	2-2	0	3	1	0	8
Freddie Dilione V	G	14	2-5	1-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Mason Blackwood	F	24	1-1	1-1	1-2	2	0	0	0	4
Saša Ciani	F	8	1-2	0-0	2-3	0	0	0	0	4
Dominick Stewart	G	22	1-6	0-3	0-0	3	1	0	0	2
Eli Rice	G	16	0-4	0-3	2-2	4	0	1	0	2
Justin Houser	F	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	2

Nebraska

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Pryce Sandfort	F	35	11-17	8-14	3-3	9	2	0	1	33
Braden Frager	F	23	5-10	4-8	1-2	6	0	1	0	15
Sam Hoiberg	G	35	4-7	0-2	3-3	5	10	2	0	11
Jamarques Lawrence	G	29	4-11	1-6	0-0	1	4	2	0	9
Rienk Mast	F	28	4-10	0-2	0-0	6	3	0	0	8
Jared Garcia	F	19	1-2	0-1	2-3	7	0	1	3	4
Kendall Blue	G	1	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Cale Jacobsen	G	18	1-2	0-0	0-1	1	2	1	0	2
Leo Curtis	F	10	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Justin Bolis	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.4Possessions69.4

92.2Offensive Efficiency125.4

125.4Defensive Efficiency92.2

-33.1Net Efficiency33.1

45.6%Effective FG%62.9%

49.2%True Shooting %64.3%

21.4%Turnover Rate16.0%

29.8%Free Throw Rate19.4%

35.1%3-Point Rate56.5%

0.87Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Nebraska won by 23 points. The game played at approximately 69.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.