Miami

26-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

29.2%Miami

70.8%Virginia

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVirginia -6.3

PROJECTED TOTAL153.3

MODEL MONEYLINEVirginia -242

Virginia

30-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMiami 73

Projected Total153.3

Projected ScoreVirginia 80

Team Comparison

MiamiMetricVirginia

65.5MMH Power Index68.9

117.8Offensive Efficiency119.0

103.0Defensive Efficiency101.8

14.8Net Efficiency17.2

3.6Strength of Schedule5.2

3.6Last 10 Net Efficiency6.4

69.2Tempo67.6

55.5%Effective FG%55.0%

16.2%Turnover Rate16.0%

37.3%Offensive Rebound %37.4%

37.9%Free Throw Rate33.2%

10.3Average Margin11.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Virginia HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVirginia holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (68.9–65.5), offensive efficiency (119.0–117.8), defensive efficiency (101.8–103.0), net efficiency (17.2–14.8).

Miami COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (55.5–55.0), free throw rate (37.9–33.2).

Final

Miami

83—86

Virginia

Virginia by 3 • 64.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MiamiTEAM STATVirginia

29-61FG29-50

48.0%FG%58.0%

9-183PT12-24

50.0%3PT%50.0%

16-17FT16-18

94.0%FT%89.0%

30Rebounds23

12Offensive Rebounds4

16Assists18

9Turnovers9

9Steals6

2Blocks8

15Fouls17

Player Box Score

Miami

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tre Donaldson	G	38	6-17	3-8	3-3	2	7	1	0	18
Shelton Henderson	F	32	6-12	0-0	6-7	3	3	2	0	18
Malik Reneau	F	28	7-10	1-1	1-1	3	2	1	1	16
Tru Washington	G	23	6-12	3-3	0-0	4	0	2	0	15
Ernest Udeh Jr.	C	39	1-2	0-0	6-6	9	1	1	1	8
Timotej Malovec	F	16	2-4	1-3	0-0	0	1	0	0	5
Dante Allen	G	23	1-4	1-3	0-0	3	2	2	0	3
Salih Altuntas	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Virginia

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jacari White	G	28	6-9	5-8	0-0	1	5	1	2	17
Sam Lewis	G	29	6-8	1-1	2-2	2	0	1	0	15
Thijs De Ridder	F	36	6-14	1-4	1-3	2	3	2	1	14
Johann Grunloh	C	27	4-5	2-2	2-2	4	0	0	5	12
Chance Mallory	G	22	2-3	1-2	7-7	6	6	0	0	12
Malik Thomas	G	18	2-5	2-5	4-4	3	2	0	0	10
Ugonna Onyenso	C	12	2-4	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	4
Dallin Hall	G	28	1-2	0-1	0-0	3	2	1	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

64.9Possessions64.9

127.9Offensive Efficiency132.5

132.5Defensive Efficiency127.9

-4.6Net Efficiency4.6

54.9%Effective FG%70.0%

60.1%True Shooting %73.4%

13.6%Turnover Rate14.2%

27.9%Free Throw Rate36.0%

29.5%3-Point Rate48.0%

1.78Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Virginia won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 64.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, True Shooting %, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.