Notre Dame

13-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

35.5%Notre Dame

64.5%Pittsburgh

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPittsburgh -4.5

PROJECTED TOTAL147.5

MODEL MONEYLINEPittsburgh -182

Pittsburgh

13-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNotre Dame 72

Projected Total147.5

Projected ScorePittsburgh 76

Team Comparison

Notre DameMetricPittsburgh

49.7MMH Power Index50.5

110.3Offensive Efficiency108.4

111.2Defensive Efficiency110.4

-0.9Net Efficiency-2.0

4.7Strength of Schedule5.5

-11.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.9

68.0Tempo65.0

53.0%Effective FG%51.4%

17.0%Turnover Rate17.3%

31.4%Offensive Rebound %33.1%

34.7%Free Throw Rate31.2%

-0.6Average Margin-1.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Notre Dame HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNotre Dame holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (110.3–108.4), net efficiency (-0.9–-2.0), shooting efficiency (53.0–51.4), ball security (17.0–17.3).

Pittsburgh COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (50.5–49.7), defensive efficiency (110.4–111.2), strength of schedule (5.5–4.7).

Final

Notre Dame

68—73

Pittsburgh

Pittsburgh by 5 • 62.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Notre DameTEAM STATPittsburgh

26-65FG22-49

40.0%FG%45.0%

9-383PT11-24

24.0%3PT%46.0%

7-14FT18-27

50.0%FT%67.0%

38Rebounds36

16Offensive Rebounds10

14Assists16

8Turnovers10

7Steals5

3Blocks—

19Fouls14

Player Box Score

Notre Dame

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cole Certa	G	38	6-18	2-12	2-3	2	1	1	0	16
Logan Imes	G	30	4-10	1-5	3-4	8	3	3	1	12
Ryder Frost	F	17	4-5	4-5	0-0	2	0	0	0	12
Sir Mohammed	G	14	4-6	0-2	1-3	1	3	0	0	9
Carson Towt	F	32	3-6	0-0	1-4	13	4	2	0	7
Braeden Shrewsberry	G	38	2-15	2-13	0-0	4	3	1	0	6
Brady Koehler	F	20	2-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	2	4
Garrett Sundra	F	11	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2

Pittsburgh

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Roman Siulepa	F	34	7-10	4-6	4-6	7	3	3	22
Nojus Indrusaitis	G	27	5-8	4-6	3-4	5	2	1	17
Cameron Corhen	F	38	3-10	0-0	7-8	8	2	0	13
Omari Witherspoon	G	33	3-5	1-1	1-3	7	5	0	8
Barry Dunning Jr.	G	32	3-10	1-6	1-2	4	3	0	8
Damarco Minor	G	36	1-6	1-5	2-4	2	1	1	5

Advanced Game Stats

62.8Possessions62.8

108.3Offensive Efficiency116.2

116.2Defensive Efficiency108.3

-8.0Net Efficiency8.0

46.9%Effective FG%56.1%

47.5%True Shooting %59.0%

12.6%Turnover Rate16.2%

21.5%Free Throw Rate55.1%

58.5%3-Point Rate49.0%

1.75Assist / Turnover1.60

Game Summary

Pittsburgh won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 62.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.