Central Connecticut

18-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

60.2%Central Connecticut

39.8%Chicago State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Connecticut -3.3

PROJECTED TOTAL143.7

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Connecticut -151

Chicago State

7-25

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCentral Connecticut 73

Projected Total143.7

Projected ScoreChicago State 70

Team Comparison

Central ConnecticutMetricChicago State

44.4MMH Power Index36.1

111.4Offensive Efficiency99.4

107.0Defensive Efficiency114.9

4.4Net Efficiency-15.5

-7.7Strength of Schedule0.5

-0.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.3

66.3Tempo66.2

54.0%Effective FG%45.6%

15.9%Turnover Rate15.8%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %29.1%

31.3%Free Throw Rate30.7%

2.9Average Margin-10.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Connecticut HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Connecticut holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.4–36.1), offensive efficiency (111.4–99.4), defensive efficiency (107.0–114.9), net efficiency (4.4–-15.5).

Chicago State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.5–-7.7), ball security (15.8–15.9), offensive rebounding (29.1–28.2).

Final

Central Connecticut

51—70

Chicago State

Chicago State by 19 • 61.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Central ConnecticutTEAM STATChicago State

17-55FG26-62

31.0%FG%42.0%

5-243PT8-28

21.0%3PT%29.0%

12-15FT10-12

80.0%FT%83.0%

40Rebounds37

14Offensive Rebounds11

11Assists21

14Turnovers5

3Steals10

3Blocks1

13Fouls18

Player Box Score

Central Connecticut

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Darin Smith Jr.	F	38	6-18	2-6	5-6	6	2	1	0	19
James Jones	G	32	2-5	0-3	4-4	4	0	1	0	8
Jay Rodgers	G	34	3-5	1-2	0-0	3	3	0	0	7
Max Frazier	F	27	3-8	0-0	1-2	8	2	0	2	7
Roddy Jones	G	17	1-7	1-6	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Melo Sanchez	G	12	1-5	1-5	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Ashton Reynolds	G	12	0-2	0-1	2-2	2	0	0	1	2
Jayden Mott	F	10	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Elijah Parker	G	14	0-2	0-1	0-0	3	2	1	0	0
Daniel James	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-1	1	0	0	0	0
Nico Ashley	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Chicago State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
CJ Ray	F	33	7-12	1-2	0-0	9	1	1	0	15
Marcus Tankersley	G	32	3-9	1-2	7-8	4	7	1	0	14
Doyel Cockrill III	G	30	4-14	4-13	2-2	2	4	1	0	14
Stephen Byard	F	26	6-6	1-1	1-2	4	0	0	0	14
Braelon Bush	G	28	2-7	1-4	0-0	3	6	0	0	5
Malek Robinson	G	11	2-5	0-2	0-0	0	0	4	0	4
Dailliss Cox	F	9	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	1	1	0	2
Joseph Owens	F	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	2
Corey Sands	G	10	0-3	0-3	0-0	0	0	2	0	0
Daniel Zatsepin	F	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Chauncey Gibson	G	7	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.9Possessions61.9

82.4Offensive Efficiency113.1

113.1Defensive Efficiency82.4

-30.7Net Efficiency30.7

35.5%Effective FG%48.4%

41.0%True Shooting %51.7%

22.5%Turnover Rate8.1%

27.3%Free Throw Rate19.4%

43.6%3-Point Rate45.2%

0.79Assist / Turnover4.20

Game Summary

Chicago State won by 19 points. The game played at approximately 61.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.