Pennsylvania

18-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

13.0%Pennsylvania

87.0%Yale

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADYale -12.8

PROJECTED TOTAL150.2

MODEL MONEYLINEYale -669

Yale

23-7

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePennsylvania 69

Projected Total150.2

Projected ScoreYale 82

Team Comparison

PennsylvaniaMetricYale

52.9MMH Power Index65.4

108.6Offensive Efficiency121.4

106.4Defensive Efficiency105.8

2.2Net Efficiency15.6

1.9Strength of Schedule1.6

2.3Last 10 Net Efficiency8.9

69.9Tempo64.5

50.9%Effective FG%56.8%

15.4%Turnover Rate13.9%

31.1%Offensive Rebound %33.3%

36.3%Free Throw Rate34.4%

1.5Average Margin10.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Yale HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY87.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMYale holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.4–52.9), offensive efficiency (121.4–108.6), defensive efficiency (105.8–106.4), net efficiency (15.6–2.2).

Pennsylvania COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.9–1.6), free throw rate (36.3–34.4).

Final

Pennsylvania

70—74

Yale

Yale by 4 • 66.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

PennsylvaniaTEAM STATYale

25-59FG27-61

42.0%FG%44.0%

10-193PT6-26

53.0%3PT%23.0%

10-14FT14-18

71.0%FT%78.0%

35Rebounds38

9Offensive Rebounds12

14Assists13

9Turnovers10

6Steals4

1Blocks6

20Fouls19

Player Box Score

Pennsylvania

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Michael Zanoni	F	33	7-16	4-8	2-2	2	0	0	0	20
TJ Power	F	37	6-12	4-7	2-2	8	3	0	0	18
Ethan Roberts	F	32	4-12	2-2	2-2	4	4	2	0	12
Augustus Gerhart	F	23	3-3	0-0	2-4	4	2	0	1	8
AJ Levine	G	25	2-5	0-1	2-4	4	4	2	0	6
Jay Jones	G	21	2-6	0-1	0-0	4	1	1	0	4
Dalton Scantlebury	C	9	1-3	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	2
Lucas Lueth	F	13	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Cam Thrower	G	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Michelangelo Oberti	C	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Yale

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaac Celiscar	F	38	6-9	0-2	4-4	14	5	0	0	16
Trevor Mullin	G	31	3-12	1-6	7-8	1	5	1	0	14
Samson Aletan	C	31	6-11	0-0	1-4	7	1	0	0	13
Casey Simmons	G	29	6-10	1-2	0-0	7	0	2	3	13
Riley Fox	F	21	3-8	1-5	0-0	1	0	0	0	7
Jack Sullivan	F	11	1-4	1-4	2-2	2	0	0	3	5
Jordan Brathwaite	G	29	1-5	1-5	0-0	3	1	1	0	3
Devon Arlington	G	9	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Courtney Wallace	G	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.7Possessions66.7

104.9Offensive Efficiency110.9

110.9Defensive Efficiency104.9

-6.0Net Efficiency6.0

50.8%Effective FG%49.2%

53.3%True Shooting %53.2%

13.7%Turnover Rate14.8%

23.7%Free Throw Rate29.5%

32.2%3-Point Rate42.6%

1.56Assist / Turnover1.30

Game Summary

Yale won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 66.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.