Central Arkansas

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

52.3%Central Arkansas

47.7%Florida Gulf Coast

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Arkansas -0.1

PROJECTED TOTAL157.8

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Arkansas -110

Florida Gulf Coast

16-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCentral Arkansas 79

Projected Total157.8

Projected ScoreFlorida Gulf Coast 79

Team Comparison

Central ArkansasMetricFlorida Gulf Coast

54MMH Power Index48.6

113.9Offensive Efficiency110.5

105.2Defensive Efficiency109.2

8.7Net Efficiency1.3

-3.9Strength of Schedule-1.8

9.8Last 10 Net Efficiency0.7

71.0Tempo70.0

54.3%Effective FG%52.1%

15.3%Turnover Rate15.7%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %32.3%

30.7%Free Throw Rate29.9%

6.1Average Margin0.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Arkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.0–48.6), offensive efficiency (113.9–110.5), defensive efficiency (105.2–109.2), net efficiency (8.7–1.3).

Florida Gulf Coast COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.8–-3.9), offensive rebounding (32.3–29.6).

Final

Central Arkansas

71—75

Florida Gulf Coast

Florida Gulf Coast by 4 • 71.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Central ArkansasTEAM STATFlorida Gulf Coast

23-61FG30-70

38.0%FG%43.0%

11-323PT8-30

34.0%3PT%27.0%

14-18FT7-13

78.0%FT%54.0%

41Rebounds40

10Offensive Rebounds11

10Assists15

11Turnovers8

6Steals8

5Blocks5

13Fouls17

Player Box Score

Central Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Camren Hunter	G	40	8-23	2-9	6-6	6	3	0	1	24
Ty Robinson	G	39	3-10	2-8	4-4	11	2	2	1	12
Cole McCormick	F	27	2-6	1-3	4-6	9	2	1	0	9
Truman Byrne	F	18	3-7	3-6	0-1	0	1	0	0	9
Harry Beauchamp	G	18	3-3	3-3	0-0	3	0	0	0	9
Malchiah Marable	F	27	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	2	4
Luke Moore	G	32	1-5	0-1	0-0	1	1	1	0	2
Javion Guy-King	G	22	1-5	0-2	0-1	2	1	2	1	2
Tyler Lee	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Florida Gulf Coast

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Ellerbee	G	37	9-21	5-11	0-3	5	1	1	0	23
Rahmir Barno	G	35	6-14	0-2	1-2	3	5	2	0	13
Isaiah Malone	F	35	4-7	0-0	2-2	7	3	0	2	10
Michael Duax	F	33	5-6	0-0	0-0	7	0	3	1	10
Darren Williams	G	20	2-7	1-6	2-2	3	0	0	0	7
J.R. Konieczny	F	38	1-9	0-6	2-4	5	4	2	1	4
Jack Reddick	G	12	1-4	1-4	0-0	3	2	0	0	3
George Washington III	G	5	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Tristen Guillouette	C	10	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	2

Advanced Game Stats

71.9Possessions71.9

98.7Offensive Efficiency104.3

104.3Defensive Efficiency98.7

-5.6Net Efficiency5.6

46.7%Effective FG%48.6%

51.0%True Shooting %49.2%

15.6%Turnover Rate10.9%

29.5%Free Throw Rate18.6%

52.5%3-Point Rate42.9%

0.91Assist / Turnover1.88

Game Summary

Florida Gulf Coast won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 71.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.