Ohio

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

83.0%Ohio

17.0%Northern Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADOhio -7.8

PROJECTED TOTAL154.3

MODEL MONEYLINEOhio -488

Northern Illinois

9-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOhio 81

Projected Total154.3

Projected ScoreNorthern Illinois 73

Team Comparison

OhioMetricNorthern Illinois

48MMH Power Index29.2

109.7Offensive Efficiency99.7

110.7Defensive Efficiency111.6

-1.0Net Efficiency-11.9

-0.1Strength of Schedule-2.1

-1.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-28.8

71.0Tempo69.7

52.0%Effective FG%48.5%

15.3%Turnover Rate21.3%

28.9%Offensive Rebound %31.7%

37.8%Free Throw Rate39.6%

-0.7Average Margin-8.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Ohio HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMOhio holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.0–29.2), offensive efficiency (109.7–99.7), defensive efficiency (110.7–111.6), net efficiency (-1.0–-11.9).

Northern Illinois COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (31.7–28.9), free throw rate (39.6–37.8).

Final

Ohio

74—66

Northern Illinois

Ohio by 8 • 64.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

OhioTEAM STATNorthern Illinois

26-54FG26-52

48.0%FG%50.0%

6-163PT8-17

38.0%3PT%47.0%

16-24FT6-12

67.0%FT%50.0%

31Rebounds30

8Offensive Rebounds7

16Assists16

7Turnovers14

10Steals4

4Blocks—

10Fouls19

Player Box Score

Ohio

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Javan Simmons	F	33	9-10	0-0	5-10	7	2	3	3	23
Jackson Paveletzke	G	38	4-11	1-3	5-7	4	6	2	0	14
Aidan Hadaway	F	38	6-14	1-3	0-0	11	4	2	0	13
Ajay Sheldon	G	35	3-8	3-6	0-0	2	3	2	0	9
JJ Kelly	G	27	2-4	0-1	1-2	3	0	0	0	5
Jesse Burris	G	14	1-3	1-2	2-2	0	0	0	0	5
Dior Conners	G	5	1-3	0-1	1-1	0	1	0	0	3
Ayden Evans	F	8	0-1	0-0	2-2	0	0	1	1	2
Kiir Kuany	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Northern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Makhai Valentine	G	39	5-8	2-4	3-5	5	2	0	15
Dylan Ducommun	G	37	4-10	4-8	1-2	5	6	0	13
Gianni Cobb	G	37	6-13	0-2	1-2	2	5	0	13
Taj Walters	G	40	4-11	2-3	0-0	8	0	2	10
Gustav Winther	F	20	5-6	0-0	0-1	1	2	1	10
Jaylen Wharton	F	10	1-1	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	3
Hassan Washington	F	9	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	2
Daemar Kelly	G	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.6Possessions64.6

114.6Offensive Efficiency102.2

102.2Defensive Efficiency114.6

12.4Net Efficiency-12.4

53.7%Effective FG%57.7%

56.6%True Shooting %57.2%

10.9%Turnover Rate21.6%

44.4%Free Throw Rate23.1%

29.6%3-Point Rate32.7%

2.29Assist / Turnover1.14

Game Summary

Ohio won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 64.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.