Arkansas State

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

92.2%Arkansas State

7.8%UL Monroe

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas State -15.4

PROJECTED TOTAL162.3

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas State -1182

UL Monroe

4-28

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArkansas State 89

Projected Total162.3

Projected ScoreUL Monroe 73

Team Comparison

Arkansas StateMetricUL Monroe

57.7MMH Power Index30.9

113.1Offensive Efficiency101.1

105.3Defensive Efficiency117.1

7.8Net Efficiency-16.0

-1.0Strength of Schedule-1.0

15.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-16.2

73.3Tempo71.7

52.7%Effective FG%48.1%

19.4%Turnover Rate16.9%

38.1%Offensive Rebound %25.3%

39.6%Free Throw Rate40.6%

5.8Average Margin-11.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY92.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.7–30.9), offensive efficiency (113.1–101.1), defensive efficiency (105.3–117.1), net efficiency (7.8–-16.0).

UL Monroe COUNTERS WITHball security (16.9–19.4), free throw rate (40.6–39.6).

Final

Arkansas State

102—94

UL Monroe

Arkansas State by 8 • 77.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Arkansas StateTEAM STATUL Monroe

31-63FG32-62

49.0%FG%52.0%

14-333PT9-22

42.0%3PT%41.0%

26-31FT21-29

84.0%FT%72.0%

32Rebounds35

12Offensive Rebounds13

18Assists23

12Turnovers15

10Steals6

3Blocks3

24Fouls26

Player Box Score

Arkansas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Joey Chammaa	G	23	4-7	3-5	10-10	2	5	0	0	21
TJ Caldwell	G	27	5-10	4-7	3-4	5	3	3	1	17
Christian Harmon	G	32	4-10	3-9	3-4	0	3	1	0	14
Jaxon Ellingsworth	F	24	3-5	2-4	5-6	3	2	1	0	13
Aly Tounkara	F	28	5-7	0-0	0-0	12	0	2	1	10
Matt Hayman	G	22	4-11	1-6	1-1	0	3	1	1	10
Chandler Jackson	G	20	4-8	0-1	2-2	1	1	2	0	10
Jalen Hampton	G	24	2-5	1-1	2-4	6	1	0	0	7

UL Monroe

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Krystian Lewis	G	38	10-19	3-6	10-10	5	9	2	0	33
Renars Sondors	F	28	7-12	2-5	3-4	3	1	0	0	19
MJ Russell	G	38	6-16	1-6	3-6	9	3	2	1	16
Lavell Brodnex	G	39	5-8	0-2	4-7	10	6	1	0	14
Micah Caster	G	29	3-4	3-3	1-2	1	3	1	1	10
Ayomide Bamisile	F	12	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	2
Alex Molofeev	G	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Wiggy Ball	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Ajay Tew	G	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

77.8Possessions77.8

131.1Offensive Efficiency120.8

120.8Defensive Efficiency131.1

10.3Net Efficiency-10.3

60.3%Effective FG%58.9%

65.6%True Shooting %62.0%

15.4%Turnover Rate19.3%

49.2%Free Throw Rate46.8%

52.4%3-Point Rate35.5%

1.50Assist / Turnover1.53

Game Summary

Arkansas State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 77.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.