Jacksonville State

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

25.8%Jacksonville State

74.2%Sam Houston

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSam Houston -7.6

PROJECTED TOTAL150.9

MODEL MONEYLINESam Houston -288

Sam Houston

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreJacksonville State 72

Projected Total150.9

Projected ScoreSam Houston 79

Team Comparison

Jacksonville StateMetricSam Houston

51.2MMH Power Index56.1

108.2Offensive Efficiency115.5

101.8Defensive Efficiency105.5

6.4Net Efficiency10.0

-2.3Strength of Schedule-2.2

-0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency3.2

67.2Tempo71.2

51.0%Effective FG%53.2%

17.0%Turnover Rate16.6%

31.3%Offensive Rebound %37.4%

44.5%Free Throw Rate34.8%

4.3Average Margin7.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Sam Houston HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY74.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSam Houston holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (56.1–51.2), offensive efficiency (115.5–108.2), net efficiency (10.0–6.4), strength of schedule (-2.2–-2.3).

Jacksonville State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (101.8–105.5), free throw rate (44.5–34.8).

Final

Jacksonville State

78—82

Sam Houston

Sam Houston by 4 • 67.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Jacksonville StateTEAM STATSam Houston

28-60FG26-53

47.0%FG%49.0%

8-213PT7-19

38.0%3PT%37.0%

14-18FT23-28

78.0%FT%82.0%

27Rebounds36

7Offensive Rebounds11

11Assists14

6Turnovers12

6Steals3

—Blocks3

22Fouls14

Player Box Score

Jacksonville State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Mostapha El Moutaouakkil	G	32	14-23	1-6	9-12	4	0	4	38
Jamar Franklin	G	16	4-4	3-3	0-0	2	0	0	11
Emondrek Erkins-Ford	F	24	3-10	1-2	2-2	4	0	0	9
AC Bryant	G	27	3-9	2-7	0-0	6	1	0	8
Jaye Nash	G	30	2-5	1-1	2-2	3	5	1	7
Jacoby Hill	G	19	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	2
Iaroslav Niagu	F	11	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	2	0	2
Marcus Fitzgerald Jr.	G	17	0-2	0-1	1-2	0	0	1	1
Toby Nnadozie	G	13	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0
Thomas Tut	F	8	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0
Aitor Anabitarte	F	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0

Sam Houston

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Po'Boigh King	G	36	5-13	3-7	6-6	0	2	2	0	19
Jacob Walker	G	37	5-13	0-3	7-7	3	3	0	0	17
Kashie Natt	G	32	3-7	2-3	7-8	10	1	0	0	15
Damon Nicholas Jr.	G	28	3-7	1-3	2-3	6	2	0	0	9
Jacobe Coleman	G	23	4-5	1-2	0-0	6	3	0	0	9
Veljko Ilic	F	21	3-3	0-0	1-4	3	3	0	0	7
Matt Dann	F	19	3-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	3	6
CJ Beaumont	G	4	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.4Possessions67.4

115.7Offensive Efficiency121.7

121.7Defensive Efficiency115.7

-5.9Net Efficiency5.9

53.3%Effective FG%55.7%

56.9%True Shooting %61.8%

8.9%Turnover Rate17.8%

30.0%Free Throw Rate52.8%

35.0%3-Point Rate35.8%

1.83Assist / Turnover1.17

Game Summary

Sam Houston won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 67.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.