Arizona State

17-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

20.0%Arizona State

80.0%Baylor

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBaylor -10.1

PROJECTED TOTAL159.7

MODEL MONEYLINEBaylor -400

Baylor

16-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArizona State 75

Projected Total159.7

Projected ScoreBaylor 85

Team Comparison

Arizona StateMetricBaylor

51MMH Power Index58.9

108.1Offensive Efficiency116.7

110.9Defensive Efficiency109.5

-2.8Net Efficiency7.2

7.0Strength of Schedule4.0

-7.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.2

70.6Tempo69.7

51.3%Effective FG%54.4%

17.1%Turnover Rate16.4%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %37.5%

40.2%Free Throw Rate34.8%

-1.9Average Margin5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Baylor HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBaylor holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.9–51.0), offensive efficiency (116.7–108.1), defensive efficiency (109.5–110.9), net efficiency (7.2–-2.8).

Arizona State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (7.0–4.0), free throw rate (40.2–34.8).

Final

Arizona State

68—73

Baylor

Baylor by 5 • 65.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Arizona StateTEAM STATBaylor

25-56FG29-51

45.0%FG%57.0%

6-203PT9-21

30.0%3PT%43.0%

12-16FT6-13

75.0%FT%46.0%

30Rebounds26

9Offensive Rebounds5

11Assists16

11Turnovers13

8Steals6

1Blocks—

14Fouls16

Player Box Score

Arizona State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Anthony Johnson	G	28	6-11	0-2	8-10	2	3	3	0	20
Maurice Odum	G	36	4-11	3-9	1-2	2	3	1	0	12
Massamba Diop	C	33	5-12	0-1	0-0	10	0	0	1	10
Allen Mukeba	F	18	5-5	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	10
Santiago Trouet	F	27	2-6	0-0	3-4	5	2	1	0	7
Andrija Grbovic	F	22	2-2	2-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	6
Noah Meeusen	G	36	1-9	1-6	0-0	8	2	2	0	3

Baylor

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Tounde Yessoufou	G	35	6-14	2-7	2-7	3	1	1	16
Obi Agbim	G	32	6-8	4-6	0-0	5	2	0	16
Isaac Williams IV	G	35	6-9	0-1	2-3	1	5	1	14
Cameron Carr	G	35	5-10	1-5	2-2	3	4	2	13
Caden Powell	C	30	4-5	0-0	0-1	7	1	1	8
Dan Skillings Jr.	G	21	1-3	1-1	0-0	2	3	0	3
Michael Rataj	G	6	1-2	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	3
James Nnaji	C	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.4Possessions65.4

104.0Offensive Efficiency111.6

111.6Defensive Efficiency104.0

-7.6Net Efficiency7.6

50.0%Effective FG%65.7%

53.5%True Shooting %63.8%

16.8%Turnover Rate19.9%

28.6%Free Throw Rate25.5%

35.7%3-Point Rate41.2%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.23

Game Summary

Baylor won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 65.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.