Oregon

12-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

39.1%Oregon

60.9%USC

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUSC -4.6

PROJECTED TOTAL152.8

MODEL MONEYLINEUSC -156

USC

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreOregon 74

Projected Total152.8

Projected ScoreUSC 79

Team Comparison

OregonMetricUSC

48.9MMH Power Index48.3

106.4Offensive Efficiency108.5

110.7Defensive Efficiency107.6

-4.3Net Efficiency0.9

6.0Strength of Schedule2.5

-6.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-16.0

66.7Tempo72.4

49.9%Effective FG%50.7%

17.8%Turnover Rate17.2%

31.6%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

36.9%Free Throw Rate45.3%

-2.9Average Margin0.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

USC HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUSC holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (108.5–106.4), defensive efficiency (107.6–110.7), net efficiency (0.9–-4.3), shooting efficiency (50.7–49.9).

Oregon COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (48.9–48.3), strength of schedule (6.0–2.5), recent form (-6.7–-16.0).

Final

Oregon

71—70

USC

Oregon by 1 • 70.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

OregonTEAM STATUSC

23-51FG23-60

45.0%FG%38.0%

4-163PT6-19

25.0%3PT%32.0%

21-27FT18-24

78.0%FT%75.0%

33Rebounds35

8Offensive Rebounds13

11Assists13

15Turnovers11

10Steals11

5Blocks8

16Fouls17

Player Box Score

Oregon

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kwame Evans Jr.	F	32	4-9	2-3	11-13	8	1	1	1	21
Nate Bittle	C	38	5-11	0-2	4-6	11	2	4	1	14
Takai Simpkins	G	35	5-11	0-2	2-2	2	1	2	0	12
Drew Carter	G	31	4-7	1-4	2-2	2	1	2	0	11
Dezdrick Lindsay	F	16	2-4	0-0	1-2	2	1	1	3	5
Jamari Phillips	G	21	1-3	1-3	1-2	1	2	0	0	4
Sean Stewart	F	19	2-4	0-0	0-0	6	2	0	0	4
Wei Lin	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Luke Johnson	F	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

USC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chad Baker-Mazara	G	23	6-11	3-6	6-6	4	0	1	0	21
Ezra Ausar	F	36	6-14	0-0	3-8	11	1	2	1	15
Alijah Arenas	G	34	4-14	1-6	4-4	2	5	2	1	13
Jacob Cofie	F	36	2-9	0-3	5-6	8	2	3	5	9
Kam Woods	G	25	3-6	0-1	0-0	5	5	3	0	6
Ryan Cornish	G	17	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Terrance Williams II	F	13	1-2	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Jordan Marsh	G	9	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jaden Brownell	F	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Gabe Dynes	C	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.1Possessions70.1

101.3Offensive Efficiency99.9

99.9Defensive Efficiency101.3

1.4Net Efficiency-1.4

49.0%Effective FG%43.3%

55.6%True Shooting %49.0%

21.2%Turnover Rate15.9%

52.9%Free Throw Rate40.0%

31.4%3-Point Rate31.7%

0.73Assist / Turnover1.18

Game Summary

Oregon won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 70.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.