East Tennessee State

23-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

66.4%East Tennessee State

33.6%UNC Greensboro

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADEast Tennessee State -4.8

PROJECTED TOTAL155.6

MODEL MONEYLINEEast Tennessee State -198

UNC Greensboro

15-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreEast Tennessee State 80

Projected Total155.6

Projected ScoreUNC Greensboro 75

Team Comparison

East Tennessee StateMetricUNC Greensboro

57.4MMH Power Index46.7

115.1Offensive Efficiency112.6

102.8Defensive Efficiency115.3

12.3Net Efficiency-2.7

-1.6Strength of Schedule-1.9

3.7Last 10 Net Efficiency2.2

67.4Tempo69.8

55.4%Effective FG%52.8%

15.1%Turnover Rate14.6%

28.8%Offensive Rebound %28.7%

35.0%Free Throw Rate41.7%

8.3Average Margin-1.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

East Tennessee State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMEast Tennessee State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.4–46.7), offensive efficiency (115.1–112.6), defensive efficiency (102.8–115.3), net efficiency (12.3–-2.7).

UNC Greensboro COUNTERS WITHball security (14.6–15.1), free throw rate (41.7–35.0).

Final

East Tennessee State

87—75

UNC Greensboro

East Tennessee State by 12 • 66.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

East Tennessee StateTEAM STATUNC Greensboro

33-55FG28-54

60.0%FG%52.0%

9-203PT9-24

45.0%3PT%38.0%

12-14FT10-15

86.0%FT%67.0%

26Rebounds26

6Offensive Rebounds8

14Assists13

12Turnovers13

7Steals10

2Blocks—

13Fouls14

Player Box Score

East Tennessee State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brian Taylor II	G	37	10-12	3-5	2-2	2	2	0	0	25
Cam Morris III	F	24	5-8	0-0	5-6	2	2	0	0	15
Jaylen Smith	G	30	4-9	1-2	3-3	1	4	1	0	12
Isaiah Sutherland	F	16	4-6	2-3	0-0	5	1	0	1	10
Blake Barkley	F	30	4-6	1-2	0-0	5	0	1	0	9
Jordan McCullum	F	18	2-4	0-1	2-3	0	1	3	1	6
Allen Strothers	G	12	2-2	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	0	4
Maki Johnson	G	21	1-5	1-4	0-0	2	3	1	0	3
Milton Matthews III	G	12	1-3	1-3	0-0	1	0	1	0	3

UNC Greensboro

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
KJ Younger	G	25	7-13	5-9	1-2	2	0	1	20
Justin Neely	F	29	6-9	0-1	6-6	5	1	1	18
Valentino Pinedo	F	34	6-7	0-0	2-3	9	5	1	14
Noah Norgaard	G	30	5-9	3-7	0-0	1	3	1	13
Clinton Efinda	F	20	3-6	1-3	0-0	3	0	0	7
Lilian Marville	G	34	1-6	0-2	0-0	2	3	6	2
Donald Whitehead Jr.	G	17	0-4	0-2	1-2	1	1	0	1
Domas Kauzonas	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-2	2	0	0	0
Clyde Bailey II	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.9Possessions66.9

130.0Offensive Efficiency112.1

112.1Defensive Efficiency130.0

17.9Net Efficiency-17.9

68.2%Effective FG%60.2%

70.6%True Shooting %61.3%

17.7%Turnover Rate19.7%

25.5%Free Throw Rate27.8%

36.4%3-Point Rate44.4%

1.17Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

East Tennessee State won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 66.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.