Troy

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.8%Troy

55.2%South Alabama

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouth Alabama -1.7

PROJECTED TOTAL150.0

MODEL MONEYLINESouth Alabama -123

South Alabama

21-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTroy 74

Projected Total150.0

Projected ScoreSouth Alabama 76

Team Comparison

TroyMetricSouth Alabama

54.1MMH Power Index51.4

112.6Offensive Efficiency110.3

103.9Defensive Efficiency103.9

8.7Net Efficiency6.4

-2.2Strength of Schedule-3.7

2.0Last 10 Net Efficiency3.4

70.4Tempo67.4

52.1%Effective FG%53.2%

17.1%Turnover Rate12.8%

35.3%Offensive Rebound %24.9%

36.8%Free Throw Rate39.8%

6.1Average Margin4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Troy HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTroy holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.1–51.4), offensive efficiency (112.6–110.3), net efficiency (8.7–6.4), strength of schedule (-2.2–-3.7).

South Alabama COUNTERS WITHrecent form (3.4–2.0), shooting efficiency (53.2–52.1), ball security (12.8–17.1).

Final

Troy

54—65

South Alabama

South Alabama by 11 • 58.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

TroyTEAM STATSouth Alabama

13-53FG24-55

25.0%FG%44.0%

10-423PT8-29

24.0%3PT%28.0%

18-23FT9-13

78.0%FT%69.0%

39Rebounds35

15Offensive Rebounds9

7Assists12

9Turnovers7

5Steals7

2Blocks4

13Fouls16

Player Box Score

Troy

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cooper Campbell	G	35	8-19	7-17	3-3	0	0	2	0	26
Thomas Dowd	F	40	2-10	2-10	4-4	8	1	2	2	10
Victor Valdes	F	34	1-6	0-2	5-6	5	1	0	0	7
Jerrell Bellamy	C	24	1-2	0-0	3-6	9	0	0	0	5
Austin Cross	G	17	1-2	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Kerrington Kiel	F	13	0-4	0-1	2-2	3	1	0	0	2
Evan Griffin	F	6	0-0	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	0	1
Cobi Campbell	G	30	0-10	0-10	0-0	5	4	1	0	0
Javen Colbert	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

South Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chaze Harris	G	35	8-15	0-1	1-4	6	5	4	1	17
Jayden Cooper	G	33	6-16	2-9	3-4	5	1	1	0	17
Adam Olsen	F	39	5-9	3-7	3-3	7	1	0	0	16
Hantz Louis-Jeune	G	31	3-6	3-6	2-2	3	1	1	0	11
Stephen Williams	F	14	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	3	2
JJ Wheat	G	11	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Randy Brady	F	27	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	3	0	0	0
John Broom	G	10	0-3	0-3	0-0	4	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

58.6Possessions58.6

92.2Offensive Efficiency110.9

110.9Defensive Efficiency92.2

-18.8Net Efficiency18.8

34.0%Effective FG%50.9%

42.2%True Shooting %53.1%

15.5%Turnover Rate11.8%

43.4%Free Throw Rate23.6%

79.2%3-Point Rate52.7%

0.78Assist / Turnover1.71

Game Summary

South Alabama won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 58.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.