Houston Christian

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

33.0%Houston Christian

67.0%Northwestern State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthwestern State -5.5

PROJECTED TOTAL136.2

MODEL MONEYLINENorthwestern State -203

Northwestern State

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreHouston Christian 65

Projected Total136.2

Projected ScoreNorthwestern State 71

Team Comparison

Houston ChristianMetricNorthwestern State

39.5MMH Power Index41.3

102.5Offensive Efficiency104.0

110.3Defensive Efficiency109.0

-7.8Net Efficiency-5.0

-0.6Strength of Schedule-1.6

-8.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.9

65.4Tempo63.6

49.9%Effective FG%49.5%

19.0%Turnover Rate17.6%

30.5%Offensive Rebound %27.1%

37.1%Free Throw Rate41.2%

-5.1Average Margin-3.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northwestern State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY67.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthwestern State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (41.3–39.5), offensive efficiency (104.0–102.5), defensive efficiency (109.0–110.3), net efficiency (-5.0–-7.8).

Houston Christian COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.6–-1.6), shooting efficiency (49.9–49.5), offensive rebounding (30.5–27.1).

Final

Houston Christian

53—71

Northwestern State

Northwestern State by 18 • 63.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Houston ChristianTEAM STATNorthwestern State

20-53FG26-54

38.0%FG%48.0%

5-183PT4-14

28.0%3PT%29.0%

8-12FT15-19

67.0%FT%79.0%

32Rebounds35

9Offensive Rebounds7

5Assists6

14Turnovers7

2Steals4

2Blocks1

19Fouls14

Player Box Score

Houston Christian

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kylin Green	G	26	5-10	2-2	3-5	2	1	0	0	15
Ryan Bartley	G	34	4-11	0-3	2-2	2	1	0	1	10
Demarco Bethea	F	28	4-8	0-0	2-3	7	0	0	0	10
D'Aundre Samuels	G	21	3-11	1-4	1-2	4	2	0	0	8
Trent Johnson	F	36	1-4	1-4	0-0	5	1	1	0	3
Demari Williams	G	20	1-3	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Mambourou Mara	F	21	1-3	0-1	0-0	5	0	1	0	2
Caleb Gaston	F	10	1-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	1	2
Ahjany Lee	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Bryson Monroe	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Northwestern State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Micah Thomas	G	28	7-16	1-2	8-8	1	1	0	0	23
Izzy Miles	G	27	6-11	1-3	4-6	5	1	1	0	17
Willie Williams	F	32	6-7	0-0	0-0	10	0	0	0	12
Kordrick Turner	F	21	3-4	0-0	1-2	5	0	0	1	7
Landyn Jumawan	G	29	2-6	2-5	0-0	7	1	0	0	6
Chris Mubiru	G	25	1-4	0-2	2-2	2	0	0	0	4
Chip Brunt	G	15	1-3	0-0	0-1	1	1	2	0	2
CJ Larry	PG	21	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	2	1	0	0
Quentin Bolton	G	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.4Possessions63.4

83.6Offensive Efficiency112.0

112.0Defensive Efficiency83.6

-28.4Net Efficiency28.4

42.5%Effective FG%51.9%

45.1%True Shooting %56.3%

22.0%Turnover Rate11.1%

22.6%Free Throw Rate35.2%

34.0%3-Point Rate25.9%

0.36Assist / Turnover0.86

Game Summary

Northwestern State won by 18 points. The game played at approximately 63.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.