Morehead State

20-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

86.7%Morehead State

13.3%Western Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMorehead State -10.3

PROJECTED TOTAL146.9

MODEL MONEYLINEMorehead State -652

Western Illinois

5-26

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMorehead State 79

Projected Total146.9

Projected ScoreWestern Illinois 68

Team Comparison

Morehead StateMetricWestern Illinois

47.3MMH Power Index25.9

110.8Offensive Efficiency96.2

110.0Defensive Efficiency113.9

0.8Net Efficiency-17.7

-4.0Strength of Schedule-2.4

3.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-26.3

67.9Tempo67.5

51.3%Effective FG%45.4%

17.3%Turnover Rate17.5%

36.4%Offensive Rebound %28.1%

37.9%Free Throw Rate37.5%

0.5Average Margin-11.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Morehead State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY86.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMorehead State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (47.3–25.9), offensive efficiency (110.8–96.2), defensive efficiency (110.0–113.9), net efficiency (0.8–-17.7).

Western Illinois COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.4–-4.0).

Final

Morehead State

81—59

Western Illinois

Morehead State by 22 • 63.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Morehead StateTEAM STATWestern Illinois

30-58FG22-48

52.0%FG%46.0%

5-173PT5-16

29.0%3PT%31.0%

16-25FT10-15

64.0%FT%67.0%

34Rebounds18

14Offensive Rebounds4

15Assists11

9Turnovers11

7Steals4

1Blocks2

13Fouls18

Player Box Score

Morehead State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jon Carroll	F	25	6-7	0-0	5-8	4	2	0	1	17
Tamaury Releford	C	15	7-8	0-0	0-1	8	0	0	0	14
Anouar Mellouk	F	23	5-6	0-1	2-4	3	1	0	0	12
George Marshall	G	33	1-8	1-6	7-8	4	4	3	0	10
Chase Dawson	G	25	3-7	2-4	0-0	5	3	1	0	8
Davion Cunningham	G	19	3-9	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	6
Clayton Parker	F	17	2-5	0-0	2-2	4	1	0	0	6
Josiah LeGree	G	15	1-3	1-3	0-0	1	2	0	0	3
Vince Dawson III	G	11	1-3	1-3	0-0	0	0	1	0	3
Tyonne Farrell	F	17	1-2	0-0	0-2	5	1	1	0	2

Western Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Danny Stephens	G	31	5-8	1-3	4-4	2	0	0	0	15
Goanar Biliew	F	34	6-10	1-2	1-2	4	1	0	1	14
Lucas Lorenzen	G	35	2-7	1-5	5-6	3	1	1	0	10
Francis Okwuosah	F	31	4-9	2-5	0-0	5	0	1	0	10
Makai Kvamme	G	30	2-7	0-1	0-3	3	8	0	0	4
Tyran Cook	G	10	2-2	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	4
Antwaun Massey	F	8	1-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	1	2
Isaiah Griffin	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Marcus Pigram	G	7	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ifiok Peter	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Nick Hittle	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.5Possessions63.5

127.6Offensive Efficiency92.9

92.9Defensive Efficiency127.6

34.6Net Efficiency-34.6

56.0%Effective FG%51.0%

58.0%True Shooting %53.5%

13.9%Turnover Rate17.7%

43.1%Free Throw Rate31.3%

29.3%3-Point Rate33.3%

1.67Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Morehead State won by 22 points. The game played at approximately 63.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.