San Diego State

22-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

50.4%San Diego State

49.6%Colorado State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSan Diego State -0.1

PROJECTED TOTAL149.4

MODEL MONEYLINESan Diego State -102

Colorado State

21-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSan Diego State 75

Projected Total149.4

Projected ScoreColorado State 75

Team Comparison

San Diego StateMetricColorado State

60.1MMH Power Index55.4

110.3Offensive Efficiency117.1

99.3Defensive Efficiency109.9

11.0Net Efficiency7.2

3.8Strength of Schedule0.4

0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency4.3

70.8Tempo64.7

53.2%Effective FG%58.6%

17.2%Turnover Rate18.3%

30.8%Offensive Rebound %29.2%

39.6%Free Throw Rate41.2%

7.8Average Margin4.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

San Diego State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSan Diego State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–55.4), defensive efficiency (99.3–109.9), net efficiency (11.0–7.2), strength of schedule (3.8–0.4).

Colorado State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (117.1–110.3), recent form (4.3–0.4), shooting efficiency (58.6–53.2).

Final

San Diego State

74—83

Colorado State

Colorado State by 9 • 67.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

San Diego StateTEAM STATColorado State

23-60FG23-49

38.0%FG%47.0%

8-223PT13-31

36.0%3PT%42.0%

20-24FT24-29

83.0%FT%83.0%

35Rebounds33

15Offensive Rebounds9

11Assists16

12Turnovers13

6Steals5

1Blocks1

22Fouls21

Player Box Score

San Diego State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Reese Dixon-Waters	G	32	4-11	2-4	6-6	2	0	1	0	16
Miles Byrd	G	30	4-14	3-8	4-4	9	4	0	1	15
Pharaoh Compton	F	12	3-4	0-0	1-2	3	0	1	0	7
Sean Newman Jr.	G	12	2-2	1-1	2-2	1	1	1	0	7
Miles Heide	F	21	2-4	0-0	2-2	5	0	0	0	6
Tae Simmons	F	19	3-6	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	0	6
Taj DeGourville	G	18	2-7	0-2	2-4	1	2	0	0	6
BJ Davis	G	21	1-4	1-2	2-2	3	1	0	0	5
Jeremiah Oden	F	12	2-4	1-2	0-0	2	0	1	0	5
Magoon Gwath	F	5	0-2	0-2	1-2	0	0	1	0	1
Elzie Harrington	G	18	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	3	1	0	0

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jase Butler	G	37	5-8	4-6	11-12	1	2	0	0	25
Carey Booth	F	31	8-12	2-5	4-4	5	2	0	1	22
Brandon Rechsteiner	G	30	5-12	5-11	1-2	4	1	2	0	16
Kyle Jorgensen	F	24	2-8	1-5	2-2	8	2	0	0	7
Rashaan Mbemba	F	17	1-1	0-0	4-6	3	0	0	0	6
Jevin Muniz	G	35	2-7	1-4	0-1	7	7	2	0	5
Jojo McIver	G	11	0-0	0-0	2-2	2	1	0	0	2
Darnez Slater	G	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Augustinas Kiudulas	F	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.6Possessions67.6

109.5Offensive Efficiency122.8

122.8Defensive Efficiency109.5

-13.3Net Efficiency13.3

45.0%Effective FG%60.2%

51.8%True Shooting %66.1%

17.5%Turnover Rate19.5%

40.0%Free Throw Rate59.2%

36.7%3-Point Rate63.3%

0.92Assist / Turnover1.23

Game Summary

Colorado State won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 67.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.