Montana State

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

58.6%Montana State

41.4%Idaho State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMontana State -2.0

PROJECTED TOTAL152.0

MODEL MONEYLINEMontana State -142

Idaho State

13-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMontana State 77

Projected Total152.0

Projected ScoreIdaho State 75

Team Comparison

Montana StateMetricIdaho State

53.6MMH Power Index45.9

114.4Offensive Efficiency111.0

104.9Defensive Efficiency113.4

9.5Net Efficiency-2.4

-3.7Strength of Schedule0.2

4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.6

68.1Tempo67.1

55.1%Effective FG%52.2%

14.7%Turnover Rate16.5%

28.1%Offensive Rebound %33.9%

30.7%Free Throw Rate39.1%

6.5Average Margin-1.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–45.9), offensive efficiency (114.4–111.0), defensive efficiency (104.9–113.4), net efficiency (9.5–-2.4).

Idaho State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.2–-3.7), offensive rebounding (33.9–28.1), free throw rate (39.1–30.7).

Final

Montana State

76—91

Idaho State

Idaho State by 15 • 72.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Montana StateTEAM STATIdaho State

24-57FG34-59

42.0%FG%58.0%

7-233PT8-23

30.0%3PT%35.0%

21-27FT15-17

78.0%FT%88.0%

19Rebounds35

6Offensive Rebounds7

9Assists14

8Turnovers13

10Steals3

1Blocks6

18Fouls21

Player Box Score

Montana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Patrick McMahon	G	35	10-20	0-2	15-17	3	1	2	0	35
Christian King	F	37	5-17	3-9	4-5	5	0	2	0	17
Jed Miller	G	39	3-7	1-5	1-3	4	3	3	0	8
Jaden Steppe	F	21	3-4	1-1	0-0	1	3	2	1	7
Chris Hodges	F	18	1-2	0-0	1-2	3	2	0	0	3
Jeremiah Davis	G	18	1-3	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Seth Amunrud	G	17	1-3	1-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Howie Keene	G	13	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Grayson Gaddis	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Calum Rutherfurd	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Idaho State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Gus Etchison	PG	31	15-25	3-8	3-3	3	8	1	0	36
Lachlan Brewer	G	32	5-9	3-6	0-0	6	0	0	2	13
Connor Hollenbeck	F	21	3-4	1-1	4-5	4	2	0	0	11
Caleb Van De Griend	F	18	4-7	0-1	1-2	9	1	1	0	9
Louis Bond	G	30	3-6	1-4	0-0	2	0	0	1	7
Martin Kheil	G	25	1-4	0-3	3-3	3	0	1	0	5
Jamison Guerra	PG	8	1-1	0-0	2-2	0	1	0	0	4
Blake Daberkow	F	8	1-1	0-0	2-2	1	2	0	0	4
Cheikh Sow	G	12	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Evan Otten	F	13	0-1	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	3	0
Landen Birley	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Quin Patterson	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.4Possessions72.4

105.0Offensive Efficiency125.7

125.7Defensive Efficiency105.0

-20.7Net Efficiency20.7

48.2%Effective FG%64.4%

54.4%True Shooting %67.8%

11.1%Turnover Rate17.8%

47.4%Free Throw Rate28.8%

40.4%3-Point Rate39.0%

1.13Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

Idaho State won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 72.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.