Austin Peay

22-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

67.7%Austin Peay

32.3%Jacksonville

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAustin Peay -4.2

PROJECTED TOTAL152.9

MODEL MONEYLINEAustin Peay -210

Jacksonville

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAustin Peay 79

Projected Total152.9

Projected ScoreJacksonville 74

Team Comparison

Austin PeayMetricJacksonville

54.8MMH Power Index43.6

115.0Offensive Efficiency109.8

103.1Defensive Efficiency110.3

11.9Net Efficiency-0.5

-5.8Strength of Schedule-4.8

8.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-3.2

71.0Tempo66.6

53.9%Effective FG%51.7%

15.3%Turnover Rate16.9%

30.3%Offensive Rebound %33.6%

39.0%Free Throw Rate33.9%

8.4Average Margin-0.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Austin Peay HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY67.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAustin Peay holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.8–43.6), offensive efficiency (115.0–109.8), defensive efficiency (103.1–110.3), net efficiency (11.9–-0.5).

Jacksonville COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-4.8–-5.8), offensive rebounding (33.6–30.3).

Final

Austin Peay

65—61

Jacksonville

Austin Peay by 4 • 60.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Austin PeayTEAM STATJacksonville

24-57FG21-54

42.0%FG%39.0%

3-163PT2-13

19.0%3PT%15.0%

14-23FT17-23

61.0%FT%74.0%

34Rebounds35

12Offensive Rebounds12

10Assists6

4Turnovers8

5Steals3

1Blocks5

18Fouls18

Player Box Score

Austin Peay

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Rashaud Marshall	F	30	10-15	0-0	6-13	7	0	0	1	26
Collin Parker	F	37	5-17	0-5	4-5	8	6	2	0	14
Ja'Corey Robinson	PG	25	4-7	0-1	2-2	2	1	1	0	10
Tate McCubbin	G	20	2-3	2-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	6
Zyree Collins	PG	37	1-7	0-1	2-2	3	2	2	0	4
Anton Brookshire	PG	40	1-7	1-7	0-1	5	1	0	0	3
Creighton Morisch	F	10	1-1	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	0	2
Travis Torain	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Jacksonville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Hayden Wood	G	38	8-18	1-6	5-6	3	0	1	1	22
Jaylen Jones	G	32	4-9	0-2	0-2	9	1	0	1	8
Donovan Rivers	F	10	1-2	0-0	6-6	0	0	0	0	8
Jason Thirdkill Jr.	F	37	2-6	1-2	2-2	6	0	1	2	7
Allen Udemadu	F	18	2-5	0-0	1-3	5	0	1	0	5
Evan Sterck	G	18	2-4	0-0	0-0	3	3	0	0	4
Charles Caporaso	C	10	1-3	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	4
Chris Arias	G	7	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Chris Lockett Jr.	G	25	0-3	0-1	1-2	5	2	0	1	1
Enrico Borio	F	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jaylen Jordon	F	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

60.4Possessions60.4

107.6Offensive Efficiency101.0

101.0Defensive Efficiency107.6

6.6Net Efficiency-6.6

44.7%Effective FG%40.7%

47.8%True Shooting %47.0%

6.7%Turnover Rate13.1%

40.4%Free Throw Rate42.6%

28.1%3-Point Rate24.1%

2.50Assist / Turnover0.75

Game Summary

Austin Peay won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 60.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.