Indiana State

11-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

8.0%Indiana State

92.0%Belmont

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBelmont -16.3

PROJECTED TOTAL155.3

MODEL MONEYLINEBelmont -1150

Belmont

26-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIndiana State 69

Projected Total155.3

Projected ScoreBelmont 86

Team Comparison

Indiana StateMetricBelmont

44.4MMH Power Index61.8

104.7Offensive Efficiency118.6

106.0Defensive Efficiency103.7

-1.3Net Efficiency14.9

0.1Strength of Schedule-0.2

-5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency10.0

70.3Tempo70.7

53.6%Effective FG%60.7%

19.5%Turnover Rate17.8%

27.3%Offensive Rebound %28.8%

28.8%Free Throw Rate32.7%

-0.9Average Margin10.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Belmont HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY92.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBelmont holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.8–44.4), offensive efficiency (118.6–104.7), defensive efficiency (103.7–106.0), net efficiency (14.9–-1.3).

Indiana State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.1–-0.2).

Final

Indiana State

70—87

Belmont

Belmont by 17 • 72.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Indiana StateTEAM STATBelmont

27-62FG33-65

44.0%FG%51.0%

9-303PT8-31

30.0%3PT%26.0%

7-8FT13-15

88.0%FT%87.0%

33Rebounds35

7Offensive Rebounds7

17Assists17

13Turnovers9

8Steals11

5Blocks2

12Fouls12

Player Box Score

Indiana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ian Scott	F	36	8-11	0-0	0-0	11	2	1	2	16
Camp Wagner	G	28	5-15	4-10	0-0	2	3	1	0	14
Sterling Young	G	18	5-11	2-7	2-2	0	1	0	0	14
Xavier Hall	G	29	3-6	2-5	0-0	5	3	2	0	8
Jo Van Buggenhout	G	11	2-5	0-3	1-1	0	0	2	0	5
Sivert Waerstad Nordheim	G	4	1-3	0-0	3-3	0	0	0	0	5
Bruno Alocen	G	30	1-4	1-3	1-2	4	7	2	1	4
Derek Vorst	C	21	2-4	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	1	4
Markus Harding	C	17	0-3	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	1	0
Cooper Bean	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Hunter Harding	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Caden Huttenlocker	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Belmont

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jack Smiley	G	17	6-11	1-5	5-5	1	3	2	0	18
Drew Scharnowski	F	23	6-7	0-0	2-4	5	4	1	0	14
Tyler Lundblade	G	31	4-8	3-6	0-0	6	1	0	0	11
Brigham Rogers	F	14	5-6	0-0	1-1	3	0	0	0	11
Sam Orme	F	25	4-9	0-4	1-1	2	2	2	0	9
Eoin Dillon	F	20	2-7	1-5	0-0	2	1	4	1	5
Isaiah West	G	20	2-4	0-2	0-0	7	4	1	0	4
Jabez Jenkins	G	18	1-4	0-1	2-2	0	1	1	0	4
Keith Robbins	G	5	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Jake Dykstra	G	5	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Graydon Lemke	F	2	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Aidan Noyes	F	17	0-3	0-3	2-2	5	0	0	1	2
Cooper Haynes	G	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.9Possessions72.9

96.0Offensive Efficiency119.3

119.3Defensive Efficiency96.0

-23.3Net Efficiency23.3

50.8%Effective FG%56.9%

53.2%True Shooting %60.3%

18.1%Turnover Rate12.1%

12.9%Free Throw Rate23.1%

48.4%3-Point Rate47.7%

1.31Assist / Turnover1.89

Game Summary

Belmont won by 17 points. The game played at approximately 72.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.