UC Davis

19-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

57.3%UC Davis

42.7%UC Riverside

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Davis -1.6

PROJECTED TOTAL154.2

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Davis -134

UC Riverside

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Davis 78

Projected Total154.2

Projected ScoreUC Riverside 76

Team Comparison

UC DavisMetricUC Riverside

48.4MMH Power Index41.2

107.2Offensive Efficiency103.1

103.7Defensive Efficiency110.1

3.5Net Efficiency-7.0

-1.9Strength of Schedule0.5

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.1

72.4Tempo70.7

52.3%Effective FG%49.8%

17.7%Turnover Rate18.5%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %28.5%

41.5%Free Throw Rate35.2%

2.5Average Margin-4.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Davis HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Davis holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.4–41.2), offensive efficiency (107.2–103.1), defensive efficiency (103.7–110.1), net efficiency (3.5–-7.0).

UC Riverside COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.5–-1.9), offensive rebounding (28.5–26.7).

Final

UC Davis

78—73

UC Riverside

UC Davis by 5 • 74.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC DavisTEAM STATUC Riverside

22-53FG21-55

42.0%FG%38.0%

4-193PT7-24

21.0%3PT%29.0%

30-39FT24-32

77.0%FT%75.0%

31Rebounds41

7Offensive Rebounds13

13Assists11

11Turnovers16

6Steals7

3Blocks4

23Fouls27

Player Box Score

UC Davis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Connor Sevilla	G	36	5-13	1-4	11-13	3	0	3	0	22
Jalen Stokes	G	26	3-8	0-1	10-10	7	0	0	0	16
Brayden Fagbemi	G	35	5-8	0-2	0-0	6	4	1	0	10
Carl Daughtery Jr.	G	24	2-4	1-3	5-8	3	1	0	0	10
Niko Rocak	F	20	2-4	1-2	3-5	5	2	1	2	8
Isaiah Chappell	F	17	2-6	1-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Omer Suljanovic	F	16	2-5	0-1	1-3	4	0	0	0	5
Marcus Wilson	G	15	1-4	0-2	0-0	1	4	1	0	2
Nils Cooper	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Cyril Franklin Jr.	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Chase Rawlins	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

UC Riverside

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Andrew Henderson	G	27	6-16	2-7	8-10	4	4	2	0	22
De'Undrae Perteete Jr.	G	29	2-8	0-3	8-9	3	1	3	0	12
Marqui Worthy Jr.	G	25	3-4	2-3	4-4	3	1	0	1	12
Ben Waller	G	32	3-7	1-4	3-4	5	0	1	1	10
Dylan Godfrey	F	21	4-7	2-3	0-0	5	0	0	0	10
Osiris Grady	F	32	2-9	0-2	1-4	10	1	0	2	5
Tyler Jones	G	28	1-3	0-2	0-1	2	4	1	0	2
EJ Spillman	G	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.4Possessions74.4

104.8Offensive Efficiency98.1

98.1Defensive Efficiency104.8

6.7Net Efficiency-6.7

45.3%Effective FG%44.5%

54.5%True Shooting %52.0%

14.6%Turnover Rate21.9%

73.6%Free Throw Rate58.2%

35.8%3-Point Rate43.6%

1.18Assist / Turnover0.69

Game Summary

UC Davis won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 74.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.