Houston

29-7

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

83.2%Houston

16.8%UCF

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADHouston -9.7

PROJECTED TOTAL151.0

MODEL MONEYLINEHouston -495

UCF

21-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreHouston 80

Projected Total151.0

Projected ScoreUCF 71

Team Comparison

HoustonMetricUCF

76MMH Power Index57.1

118.4Offensive Efficiency113.3

95.9Defensive Efficiency110.0

22.5Net Efficiency3.3

5.9Strength of Schedule6.6

18.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-3.8

65.2Tempo71.2

52.3%Effective FG%53.0%

12.9%Turnover Rate16.0%

35.3%Offensive Rebound %34.3%

26.9%Free Throw Rate31.1%

14.7Average Margin2.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Houston HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMHouston holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (76.0–57.1), offensive efficiency (118.4–113.3), defensive efficiency (95.9–110.0), net efficiency (22.5–3.3).

UCF COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.6–5.9), shooting efficiency (53.0–52.3), free throw rate (31.1–26.9).

Final

Houston

69—68

UCF

Houston by 1 • 65.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

HoustonTEAM STATUCF

29-69FG25-62

42.0%FG%40.0%

3-163PT7-23

19.0%3PT%30.0%

8-11FT11-17

73.0%FT%65.0%

42Rebounds41

18Offensive Rebounds16

8Assists11

8Turnovers13

3Steals1

4Blocks5

20Fouls14

Player Box Score

Houston

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
J'Wan Roberts	Forward	36	10-17	0-0	1-2	9	1	0	0	21
Ja'Vier Francis	Forward	25	5-6	0-0	6-6	10	0	0	1	16
Emanuel Sharp	G	28	4-11	1-6	0-0	4	0	1	0	9
Milos Uzan	G	35	4-11	0-2	0-0	3	5	1	1	8
Mylik Wilson	Guard	18	3-6	0-0	1-2	5	1	1	0	7
L.J. Cryer	Guard	36	2-13	2-7	0-0	4	1	0	0	6
Joseph Tugler	F	12	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	2
Terrance Arceneaux	G	10	0-3	0-1	0-1	1	0	0	1	0

UCF

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Moustapha Thiam	C	34	7-10	1-2	3-4	5	1	0	3	18
Jordan Ivy-Curry	Guard	30	4-10	2-7	4-4	3	0	0	1	14
Darius Johnson	Guard	32	5-16	3-7	0-0	3	4	1	0	13
Dallan Coleman	Guard	29	3-6	1-3	1-1	5	2	0	0	8
Keyshawn Hall	F	35	2-12	0-3	2-6	11	3	0	0	6
JJ Taylor	F	11	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Mikey Williams	G	12	1-3	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	1	2
Dior Johnson	G	6	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Benny Williams	Forward	8	0-1	0-1	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Rokas Jocius	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.7Possessions65.7

105.0Offensive Efficiency103.5

103.5Defensive Efficiency105.0

1.5Net Efficiency-1.5

44.2%Effective FG%46.0%

46.5%True Shooting %48.5%

12.5%Turnover Rate19.4%

15.9%Free Throw Rate27.4%

23.2%3-Point Rate37.1%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.85

Game Summary

Houston won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 65.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.