Cal State Fullerton

18-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

80.3%Cal State Fullerton

19.7%Cal State Bakersfield

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal State Fullerton -7.9

PROJECTED TOTAL164.5

MODEL MONEYLINECal State Fullerton -408

Cal State Bakersfield

8-24

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Fullerton 86

Projected Total164.5

Projected ScoreCal State Bakersfield 78

Team Comparison

Cal State FullertonMetricCal State Bakersfield

49.4MMH Power Index32.2

108.8Offensive Efficiency100.2

107.1Defensive Efficiency112.6

1.7Net Efficiency-12.4

-1.2Strength of Schedule-1.7

2.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-18.5

76.3Tempo73.0

52.6%Effective FG%46.4%

15.1%Turnover Rate18.6%

25.5%Offensive Rebound %30.2%

39.6%Free Throw Rate43.8%

1.3Average Margin-9.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal State Fullerton HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal State Fullerton holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.4–32.2), offensive efficiency (108.8–100.2), defensive efficiency (107.1–112.6), net efficiency (1.7–-12.4).

Cal State Bakersfield COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (30.2–25.5), free throw rate (43.8–39.6).

Final

Cal State Fullerton

88—80

Cal State Bakersfield

Cal State Fullerton by 8 • 73.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State FullertonTEAM STATCal State Bakersfield

29-58FG27-64

50.0%FG%42.0%

16-333PT7-25

48.0%3PT%28.0%

14-21FT19-23

67.0%FT%83.0%

35Rebounds37

6Offensive Rebounds11

18Assists10

11Turnovers10

3Steals3

3Blocks3

20Fouls20

Player Box Score

Cal State Fullerton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Joshua Ward	G	35	7-11	4-6	3-4	4	3	0	1	21
KJ Garris	G	22	6-9	6-9	1-2	5	1	1	0	19
Kendrick De Luna	F	28	5-9	0-0	3-5	4	2	1	1	13
Bryce Cofield	G	18	3-5	1-2	3-4	4	1	0	1	10
Bailey Nunn	G	28	2-3	2-3	3-4	2	6	0	0	9
Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro	G	28	3-10	1-4	1-2	6	4	1	0	8
Davis White	G	14	2-3	2-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
Landon Seaman	F	3	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Christian Williams	G	17	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Jaden Henderson	G	7	0-4	0-4	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

Cal State Bakersfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dailin Smith	G	35	6-17	4-11	5-7	1	1	2	0	21
Tom Mark	F	35	6-10	0-2	5-7	7	0	1	3	17
CJ Hardy	G	34	6-15	1-5	3-3	5	3	0	0	16
Bentley Waller	G	23	5-8	1-3	2-2	3	1	0	0	13
AJ George	G	25	2-7	1-3	2-2	2	2	0	0	7
Ronald Jessamy	F	20	1-3	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	0	2
Kadar Waller	G	17	1-4	0-1	0-0	3	3	0	0	2
Pierre Geneste Jr.	C	11	0-0	0-0	2-2	4	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

73.5Possessions73.5

119.7Offensive Efficiency108.8

108.8Defensive Efficiency119.7

10.9Net Efficiency-10.9

63.8%Effective FG%47.7%

64.7%True Shooting %53.4%

15.1%Turnover Rate13.5%

36.2%Free Throw Rate35.9%

56.9%3-Point Rate39.1%

1.64Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Cal State Fullerton won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 73.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.